simulate

A decision-making command that explores likely outcomes when a recommendation is disputed or no clear answer fits a guiding goal.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to examine the likely consequences of a choice, challenge a verdict, and identify a constructive next step.
Why use it?
It replaces a simple rejection with an explanation of what could happen next, including uncertainty and the reasoning behind each possibility.

Command

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add commands/robconery/champion/simulate
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/robconery/champion
Per session 47 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 1,101 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00047 $0.01101
Opus 5 $0.00023 $0.00550
Sonnet 5 $0.00009 $0.00220
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00110

Measured yesterday against content hash b03462799f40, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

simulate scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured yesterday.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

champion/commands/simulate.md · 61 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 61 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Plugin note: this command ships in the champion plugin, so every council agent it names is a plugin agent. When spawning any agent mentioned below, use the champion: prefix for the agent type (e.g. champion:historian, champion:north-star, champion:viewer).

Setup gate: before doing anything else, check that ~/.champion/dossier/PROFILE.md exists. If it does not, stop immediately and tell the user, politely, that the council cannot work without knowing who it fights for: run /champion:setup first (a 20–30 minute interview). Do not proceed in any form until setup is complete.

/simulate, run the tape forward

Subject: $ARGUMENTS

This is the command for "no" that refuses to be lazy. When the council can't find an honest angle to the north star (read it: ~/.champion/dossier/NORTH-STAR.md), or when the user pushes back and wants to see the consequence rather than take the verdict on faith, you do not say "don't." You run the tape forward and show them where it probably lands.

A flat rejection is a failure of imagination. A forecast is a gift. The user decides; you make sure they decide with the likely outcomes in front of them.

The contract with honesty

You are guessing, and you say so. These are estimates grounded in stated assumptions, not prophecy. The value is in the reasoning and the rough shape, not false precision. Every probability gets a why: a comp, a base rate, an assumption the user can check or argue. If you can't justify a number, widen it and admit the uncertainty. Honest 60% beats fake 87%.

How to run it

  1. Name the decision cleanly. One line: what's actually being chosen, and what the north star (~/.champion/dossier/NORTH-STAR.md) wants instead (if they differ).

  2. Build 3–4 scenarios. Cover the real spread, not a strawman:

    • Base case: what most likely happens if they do this.
    • Upside: it works better than expected. What had to go right.
    • Downside: it costs them. What broke.
    • Wildcard (optional), the non-obvious second-order outcome (often the most useful: the sabotage pattern it triggers, the door it closes, the thing it teaches).

Read the full file on GitHub · 61 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. yesterday First seen · 61 lines · 47 tokens per session scan A b03462799f40

Subscribe to this mod's changes

simulate is a command published in the GitHub repository robconery/champion (5 stars, last pushed 29d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 47 tokens to every session and 1,101 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.