bet-sizing
25Skill Claude CodeCodex
Price a bet by what it costs when it is wrong and cap the downside in writing before it starts — run before any bet enters goals.md.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Price a bet by what it costs when it is wrong and cap the downside in writing before it starts — run before any bet enters goals.md.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Diff where the week actually went against where it was planned — run every Friday, and whenever the founder claims they have no time.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Compute real deliverable hours before accepting work — run before any yes to a new client, an extra deliverable, or a start date.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Capture one unstructured thought in the inbox without classifying it — use when the founder needs to remember one thing now and decide what it means later.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Score an engagement on payment, scope, tone and effort before it becomes a crisis — run monthly per active client, and always before a renewal.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Draft one planned piece around a single idea the founder learned by doing — run against the plan, never to fill a slot, and never after 10pm on anything naming a person.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Plan what gets published against the ICP and last month's actual shipped count — run weekly, and whenever the founder proposes a cadence they have never once hit.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Load charter, goals and metrics with their dates stamped before any cadence runs — the house-rule-1 check that starts every session.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Open the day with the one thing that matters — run every weekday morning before the founder picks their own work.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Record an irreversible decision with the falsifier that would reverse it — run within 24 hours of the decision, while the reason is still the reason.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Compare estimated against actual hours within five days of shipping — run at every project end, before memory replaces the timesheet.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Read the calendar record for when the founder's output is good and when it isn't — run monthly, once the ledger has enough weeks to mean something.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Surface everyone past their contact interval and give each one a real reason to hear from the founder — run weekly, capped at five, and never with "just checking in".
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Diagnose workspace rot — missing files, stale metrics, goals without bets, orphan clients, silent cadences — and report before repairing anything.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Run first-install onboarding — interview the founder, scaffold the workspace, and hand each answer to the agent that owns it.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Enforce the hard refusals every agent obeys — nothing outbound and nothing paid, ever; tax, legal, and medical questions get escalated to a real professional, never answered.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Narrow who this company serves until the definition excludes real, nameable people — run before any pipeline or content work, and whenever the founder describes their buyer in adjectives.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Tier every claim arriving from outside the workspace — fact, validate, or disregard — before it enters a canonical file, and stamp its speaker and date inline in the line that carries it.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Force a verdict on a bet against the threshold it was given, with the sunk cost named out loud — run the moment a judgement date passes.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Attach one capability to one project that forces it and one real deadline — run after skill-gap names the gap, never before.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Read the month back against the charter and name the drift — run after the CFO closes the books, never before.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Turn what the founder does into an outcome with an explicit boundary — run when work is quoted in hours, when every project is bespoke, or when a prospect can't repeat the offer to a colleague.
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Draft a first contact or a follow-up written from the prospect's problem — run when a deal needs a next action, and never to send "just checking in".
Skill Claude CodeCodex
Force every deal to have a next action with a date or leave the pipeline — run weekly, and any time the founder says they have more conversations than they can name.