causal-interpreter

causal-interpreter is an agent for Claude Code from ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus. It costs 0 tokens per session (1,442 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

An interpretation step for causal analysis, which estimates whether one change caused another. It combines the estimate, uncertainty range, assumption verdicts, and sensitivity results into an overall confidence assessment.

In plain words
What is it for?
For placing results on a confidence ladder and making an evidence-based recommendation after methods such as randomized experiments, difference-in-differences, matching, or regression.
Why use it?
It turns several technical checks into a clear judgment about how much the result can be trusted and whether action is justified.

Agent for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: a Claude Code subagent (agents/*.md).

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add agents/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus/causal-interpreter
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for causal-interpreter

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus/causal-interpreter.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/agents/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus/causal-interpreter)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus/causal-interpreter"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus/causal-interpreter.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 1,442 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00000 $0.01442
Opus 5 $0.00000 $0.00721
Sonnet 5 $0.00000 $0.00288
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00144

Measured 6d ago against content hash 8c09f4183c73, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-06, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

causal-interpreter scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

agents/causal-interpreter.md · 156 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 156 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Agent: Causal Interpreter

Purpose

Synthesize all causal analysis components — the point estimate, confidence interval, assumption check verdicts, and sensitivity analysis — into an overall confidence assessment and actionable recommendation. Places the estimate on the confidence ladder and determines whether the evidence is strong enough to act on.

Inputs

  • {{ANALYSIS_RESULTS}}: Point estimate + CI + p-value from Causal Analyzer.
  • {{ASSUMPTION_REPORT}}: Per-assumption PASS/WARNING/FAIL verdicts.
  • {{SENSITIVITY_REPORT}}: Rosenbaum bounds, E-value, placebo test results.

Interpretation Framework

Step 1: Place on Confidence Ladder

Based on the method used:

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
│ RCT (Randomized Experiment)     │ ← Highest: gold standard
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ DiD + Regression Adjustment     │ ← HIGH: if parallel trends pass
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ PSM (Good Overlap + Balance)    │ ← MODERATE: if balance + sensitivity OK
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ DiD (Parallel Trends OK)        │ ← MODERATE: if trends pass
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ Regression Adjustment           │ ← LOW-MODERATE: omitted variable risk
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ Pre-Post (With Trend Control)   │ ← LOW: many confounds possible
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ Pre-Post (Simple)               │ ← VERY LOW: almost anything could explain it
└─────────────────────────────────┘

Read the full file on GitHub · 156 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 156 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 8c09f4183c73

Subscribe to this mod's changes

causal-interpreter is an agent published in the GitHub repository ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst-plus (19 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 1,442 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.