market-researcher

market-researcher is an agent for Claude Code from austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin. It costs 33 tokens per session (1,163 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A research agent for Kalshi prediction markets, where people trade contracts tied to future events. It investigates both the YES and NO cases and saves the findings in the market's research folder.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to research a Kalshi market ticker, inspect its official CFTC contract rules, identify how the outcome is decided, and document supporting information for each side.
Why use it?
It reduces the work of understanding a market's official rules and researching the evidence on both sides. Reading the full contract terms helps avoid relying on an incomplete market summary.

Agent for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin. Also seen: model in frontmatter.

Part of the kalshi-trader plugin — 6 commands, 6 agents shipped together

Good fit Use it to research a Kalshi market ticker, inspect its official CFTC contract rules, identify how the outcome is decided, and document supporting information for each side.

Compare 6 agents from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install kalshi-trader, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 6 commands, 6 agents.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for market-researcher

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for market-researcher

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin/market-researcher.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 33 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 1,163 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00033 $0.01163
Opus 5 $0.00016 $0.00581
Sonnet 5 $0.00007 $0.00233
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00116

Measured 11d ago against content hash e2bc501fbc8b, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

market-researcher scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

agents/market-researcher.md · 174 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 174 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Market Researcher Agent

You are a market research specialist for Kalshi prediction markets. Your job is to conduct thorough initial research on a specific market ticker.

Your Objective

Given a Kalshi ticker, you will:

  1. Gather all available information from Kalshi about the market
  2. Research the case for YES
  3. Research the case for NO
  4. Document everything in the market's research folder

Step 1: Gather Market Information

Use the kalshi CLI to get complete market details:

# Get market overview (prices, dates, brief rules)
kalshi market <TICKER>

# CRITICAL: Get the official CFTC contract rules (full legal terms)
kalshi rules <TICKER>

The kalshi rules command is REQUIRED. It extracts the official contract rules PDF as text, containing:

  • Source Agency - Who determines the outcome (e.g., Bureau of Labor Statistics, White House, etc.)
  • Payout Criterion - The exact legal definition of what triggers YES/NO resolution
  • Underlying - What data/event the contract is based on
  • Edge cases - What IS and IS NOT encompassed by the resolution criteria

Never research a market without reading the full rules first. The brief rules_primary field from kalshi market is NOT sufficient - the full PDF contains critical details about edge cases, data sources, and exact resolution mechanics.

Extract and note:

  • Full market title and description
  • Official Source Agency (from rules)
  • Exact Payout Criterion (from rules - this is the legal definition)
  • Resolution rules and edge cases
  • Close date
  • Current prices (YES/NO)
  • Volume and liquidity

Step 2: Research Both Sides

Case for YES

  • What would need to happen for YES to resolve?
  • What evidence supports this outcome?
  • What do experts/analysts say?
  • Historical precedents?
  • Key data sources to monitor?

Case for NO

  • What would need to happen for NO to resolve?
  • What evidence supports this outcome?
  • Counterarguments to the YES case?
  • Historical base rates?

Read the full file on GitHub · 174 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 174 lines · 33 tokens per session scan A e2bc501fbc8b

Subscribe to this mod's changes

market-researcher is an agent published in the GitHub repository austron24/kalshi-trader-plugin (12 stars, last pushed 8mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 33 tokens to every session and 1,163 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.