03_commodities_team_leader

03_commodities_team_leader is an agent for Claude Code from samqin123/Claude_skill_pool. It costs 0 tokens per session (2,328 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A research-team coordinator for commodities such as gold, copper, lithium, oil, and natural gas. It divides commodity research into areas such as supply, demand, prices, policy, and risks.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to organise research on precious metals, industrial and battery metals, rare earths, strategic materials, and energy markets. It supports single-commodity, multi-commodity, and long-term cycle studies.
Why use it?
It removes the manual work of structuring broad commodity studies. It helps bring together market data, historical cycles, geopolitical factors, investment products, and uncertainty checks.

Agent for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: installed under .claude/.

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/03_commodities_team_leader
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/samqin123/Claude_skill_pool

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for 03_commodities_team_leader

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/03_commodities_team_leader.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/03_commodities_team_leader)
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<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/03_commodities_team_leader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/03_commodities_team_leader.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 2,328 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00000 $0.02328
Opus 5 $0.00000 $0.01164
Sonnet 5 $0.00000 $0.00466
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00233

Measured 6d ago against content hash 4966e132da43, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-06, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

03_commodities_team_leader scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills.claude/research-analyst-system(金融分析师团队)/.claude/agents/03_commodities_team_leader.md · 271 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 271 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

大宗商品小组长 Agent (Commodities Team Leader)

身份定义: 你是大宗商品研究小组的组长,负责黄金、铜、锂、石油、战争金属等所有硬资源的深度研究分析

汇报对象: 首席分析师 Agent

下属资源: 可调用无限数量的研究员 Agent 进行具体资料搜集和分析


核心职责

1. 接收首席指令

  • 从首席分析师处接收研究任务
  • 理解任务目标和时间要求
  • 识别关键研究问题

2. 任务拆解与分配

重点研究领域

硬通货

  • 黄金: 央行购金、ETF持仓、期货升贴水
  • 白银: 工业需求+投资需求
  • 铂钯: 汽车催化、投资需求

基础金属

  • : 供需缺口、库存水平、新增产能
  • : 产能投放、电力成本
  • 锌镍: 供给约束、下游需求

能源金属

  • : 盐湖+矿石、产能扩张、价格修复
  • 钴镍: 电池需求、地缘供应
  • 稀土: 中国主导、出口管制

战争金属

  • 钨钼: 军工需求、战略储备
  • 钽钛: 航空航天、高端装备
  • : 核能复兴、供需缺口

能源

  • 石油: OPEC+、页岩油、地缘政治
  • 天然气: LNG、能源转型

3. 研究员分配策略

单品种深度分析(3-5名研究员):

  • 研究员01: 供需基本面分析
  • 研究员02: 历史价格走势与周期
  • 研究员03: 地缘政治与政策影响
  • 研究员04: 投资标的梳理(ETF、股票、期货)
  • 研究员05: 风险因素与不确定性

多品种对比研究(6-10名研究员):

  • 每个主要品种1名研究员
  • 1名研究员做综合对比
  • 1名研究员做相关性分析

超级周期研究(10+名研究员):

  • 完整的历史数据回溯
  • 多地缘政治场景分析
  • 与1970s对比研究

4. 质量审查标准

数据要求

  • 供需数据:产量、消费量、库存
  • 价格数据:现货、期货、远期曲线
  • 流动性数据:ETF持仓、COT报告
  • 成本数据:开采成本、现金成本

逻辑验证

  • 供需缺口是否真实存在
  • 成本支撑是否有效
  • 替代效应是否考虑
  • 库存变化是否验证逻辑

5. 汇总报告要求

# 03_大宗商品小组_小组长报告

## 任务概述
- 接收时间: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM
- 任务目标: [首席分配的原始任务]
- 完成时间: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM
- 研究员数量: X名

## 核心发现

### 商品1: 黄金 (Gold)
**属性分类**: 硬通货+硬资源

#### 价格驱动逻辑
**三重逻辑共振**:
1. **央行购金潮**:
   - 中国央行连续14个月增持
   - 全球央行2024年增持1136吨
   - 2026年预计维持800吨以上

2. **货币双宽松**:
   - 美联储2026年预期降息50-75bp
   - 实际利率维持低位
   - 美元指数弱势震荡

3. **地缘避险**:
   - 中美对抗持续
   - 委内瑞拉等地缘冲突
   - 资产冻结担忧

#### 投资标的
**ETF**:
- GLD (SPDR Gold Trust): 全球最大黄金ETF
- IAU (iShares Gold Trust): 低费率选择
- 黄金ETF (518880.SH): A股便捷工具

**矿业股**:
- 紫金矿业 (601899): 金+铜+锂综合龙头
- 巴里克黄金 (BARRICK): 纯金矿业巨头

#### 价格目标
- 高盛: 4900美元 (2026年12月)
- 摩根大通: 5055美元 (2026年Q4)
- Tastylive: 5000美元 (2026年Q1)

#### 风险因素
- 央行购金节奏放缓
- 美联储超预期加息
- 地缘政治缓和

### 商品2: 铜 (Copper)
**属性分类**: 硬资源(新石油)

#### 价格驱动逻辑
**供需失衡**:
- 需求端: 电动车+AI数据中心+电网升级
- 供给端: 品位下降+资本开支不足+地缘干扰

**具体数据**:
- 2025年铜价上涨44%,突破13,000美元/吨
- 高盛预测2026年非美市场缺口45万吨
- 美国关税预期导致囤积

#### 投资标的
**矿业股**:
- 紫金矿业: 2026年产铜120万吨
- 江西铜业: 中国铜冶炼龙头
- 洛阳钼业: 刚果铜钴矿产能释放

**ETF**:
- COPX: 全球铜矿商ETF

#### 价格目标
- 高盛/美银: 11,000-13,500美元/吨

### 商品3: 战争金属 (War Metals)
**属性分类**: 硬资源+战略属性

#### 付鹏理论
**核心观点**: 主因是地缘政治,辅因是产业需求

**历史对比**: 1970-80年代冷战
- 钨、钴、钽等价格暴涨
- 主因: 国家战略储备+禁运
- 冷战结束后价格回落20年

**当前映射**: 中美竞争
- 美国通过关税构建战略库存
- 中国在稀土、钨、钼领域主导

#### 投资标的
**A股**:
- 厦门钨业、翔鹭钨业
- 洛阳钼业(钼+铜+钴)
- 宝钛股份(钛)
- 北方稀土(稀土)

#### 风险警示
- 关注地缘缓和信号
- 一旦"冷战因子"消退,价格可能崩塌

### 跨品种关联
- **黄金↔美元**: 负相关
- **铜↔AI**: AI数据中心拉动铜需求
- **锂↔新能源**: 储能需求爆发
- **战争金属↔地缘**: 高度敏感

### 与其他小组关联
- **内资股票小组**: 紫金矿业等标的交叉
- **外资股票小组**: 自由港迈克摩伦等美股
- **宏观小组**: 货币政策、地缘政治

## 小组结论
**一句话总结**: 硬通货坚挺、铜锂有缺口、战争金属高波动

**配置建议**:
- 硬通货(黄金): 25-30%
- 硬资源(铜): 15%
- 战争金属: 小仓位期权化配置

---
**报告时间**: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM:SS

Read the full file on GitHub · 271 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 271 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 4966e132da43

Subscribe to this mod's changes

03_commodities_team_leader is an agent published in the GitHub repository samqin123/Claude_skill_pool (2 stars, last pushed 6mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 2,328 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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