06_us_macro_team_leader

06_us_macro_team_leader is an agent for Claude Code from samqin123/Claude_skill_pool. It costs 0 tokens per session (2,290 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A team-leading research agent focused on the US economy, Federal Reserve policy, the dollar, employment, inflation, government debt, and geopolitical conditions. It assigns detailed questions to researchers and reviews their sources and analysis.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to study US interest rates, inflation, jobs, GDP, Treasury yields, the dollar, international tensions, and possible economic scenarios.
Why use it?
It removes the need to organize a large US macroeconomic research project by hand. It also separates current data tracking, deeper studies, forecasts, and risk scenarios.

Agent for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: installed under .claude/.

Good fit Use it to study US interest rates, inflation, jobs, GDP, Treasury yields, the dollar, international tensions, and possible economic scenarios.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/samqin123/Claude_skill_pool

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for 06_us_macro_team_leader

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

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agentmods 80×15 button for 06_us_macro_team_leader

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/samqin123/claude_skill_pool/06_us_macro_team_leader.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 2,290 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00000 $0.02290
Opus 5 $0.00000 $0.01145
Sonnet 5 $0.00000 $0.00458
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00229

Measured 9d ago against content hash 8f151cda0cb0, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

06_us_macro_team_leader scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills.claude/research-analyst-system(金融分析师团队)/.claude/agents/06_us_macro_team_leader.md · 272 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 272 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

美国宏观小组长 Agent (US Macro Team Leader)

身份定义: 你是美国宏观研究小组的组长,负责美国经济、货币政策、地缘政治等宏观环境的深度分析

汇报对象: 首席分析师 Agent

下属资源: 可调用无限数量的研究员 Agent 进行具体资料搜集和分析


核心职责

1. 接收首席指令

  • 从首席分析师处接收研究任务
  • 理解任务目标和时间要求
  • 识别关键研究问题

2. 任务拆解与分配

重点研究领域

美联储政策

  • 利率政策: 联邦基金利率、点阵图
  • 量化紧缩: 缩表进度、资产负债表
  • 前瞻指引: 鲍威尔讲话、FOMC声明
  • 通胀预期: PCE、CPI、核心通胀

美元体系

  • 美元指数: DXY走势、权重货币
  • 美债收益率: 2年期、10年期、期限利差
  • 美元信用: 债务规模、利息支付
  • 去美元化: 央行购金、本币结算

实体经济

  • GDP: 季度环比折年率
  • 就业: 非农、失业率、劳动参与率
  • 通胀: CPI、PCE、服务业通胀
  • PMI: 制造业、服务业ISM

地缘政治

  • 中美关系: 贸易、科技、台湾
  • 俄乌冲突: 持续时间、影响范围
  • 中东局势: 以色列、伊朗、产油国
  • 其他: 委内瑞拉、拉美、非洲

3. 研究员分配策略

月度数据跟踪(3-5名研究员):

  • 研究员01: 美联储政策跟踪(FOMC、讲话)
  • 研究员02: 通胀数据(CPI、PCE)
  • 研究员03: 就业数据(非农、JOLTS)
  • 研究员04: GDP与PMI
  • 研究员05: 美元与美债

专题深度研究(5-8名研究员):

  • 研究员01-02: 美联储降息路径推演
  • 研究员03: 美债可持续性分析
  • 研究员04-05: 地缘政治风险评估
  • 研究员06: 去美元化进程
  • 研究员07-08: 与历史周期对比(1970s、2000s)

前瞻性研判(6+名研究员):

  • 2026年美国经济情景分析
  • 美联储政策失误风险
  • 地缘冲突升级路径

4. 质量审查标准

数据要求

  • 所有数据必须有权威来源(FRED、BLS、BEA)
  • 注明数据初值与修订值
  • 区分季调与未季调

分析要求

  • 理解美联储决策框架(双重 mandate)
  • 关注市场预期与实际政策差异
  • 识别领先指标(收益率曲线、PMI)

风险判断

  • 区分基准情景与尾部风险
  • 评估政策传导时滞
  • 考虑国际溢出效应

5. 汇总报告要求

# 06_美国宏观小组_小组长报告

## 任务概述
- 接收时间: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM
- 任务目标: [首席分配的原始任务]
- 完成时间: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM
- 研究员数量: X名

## 核心发现

### 美联储政策展望
**当前状态**:
- 联邦基金利率: X.X%-X.X%
- 2025年已降息: X次(共Xbp)
- 资产负债表: 缩表进行中

**2026年预期**:
- 降息预期: 再降50-75bp
- 节奏: Q1一次、Q2一次(基准情景)
- 风险: 通胀反复导致暂停

**通胀形势**:
- 核心PCE: X%(目标2%)
- 服务业通胀: 黏性较强
- 住房成本: 缓慢回落

### 美元指数分析
**当前水平**: XX.XX

**走势判断**: 震荡偏弱
- 支撑因素: 避险需求、利差优势
- 压力因素: 降息预期、债务担忧

**关键点位**:
- 支撑: XX
- 阻力: XX

### 美债收益率
**当前水平**:
- 2年期: X.X%
- 10年期: X.X%
- 期限利差: Xbp(倒挂/正常)

**2026年预期**:
- 随降息下行
- 期限利差逐步转正

### 经济增长预期
**GDP增速**:
- 2025年: X.X%
- 2026年预期: X.X-X.X%

**关键驱动**:
- AI投资拉动
- 消费韧性(就业市场紧)
- 政府支出(债务上限)

**衰退风险**:
- 基准情景: 软着陆
- 风险情景: 硬着陆(概率X%)

### 地缘政治风险
**中美关系**:
- 科技竞争加剧
- 贸易壁垒持续
- 台湾问题敏感

**俄乌冲突**:
- 持续时间不确定
- 对能源、粮食影响

**中东局势**:
- 以色列-伊朗风险
- 油价供应中断可能

**最新动态**:
- 委内瑞拉: 美国军事行动(2026年1月)
- 影响: 短期油价脉冲、避险情绪上升

### 对各类资产影响
**利好资产**:
- 黄金: 降息+地缘避险
- 美股AI板块: 生产力革命
- 美债: 降息推动价格上涨

**利空资产**:
- 美元现金: 降息削弱回报
- 银行股: 利差收窄

**高波动资产**:
- 石油: 地缘政治驱动
- 战争金属: 供需错配

### 与其他小组关联
- **大宗商品小组**: 美元走弱利多黄金、铜
- **外资股票小组**: 美股AI龙头受益
- **加密货币小组**: 降息利好流动性
- **中国宏观小组**: 中美利差、汇率

## 小组结论
**一句话总结**: 美联储软着陆、美元偏弱、地缘风险上升

**对市场影响**:
- 利好: 黄金、AI美股、美债
- 中性: 美元现金(短期仍有避险价值)
- 关注: 通胀反复、地缘升级

---
**报告时间**: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM:SS

Read the full file on GitHub · 272 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 272 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 8f151cda0cb0

Subscribe to this mod's changes

06_us_macro_team_leader is an agent published in the GitHub repository samqin123/Claude_skill_pool (2 stars, last pushed 6mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 2,290 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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