hypothesis-verifier

hypothesis-verifier is an agent for coding agents from shinpr/claude-code-discover. It costs 42 tokens per session (1,232 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

An independent planning agent that breaks a product hypothesis into testable assumptions and designs the smallest test that could show it is wrong.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it during hypothesis validation to identify the main risk, define disconfirming tests, and clarify missing evidence or success criteria.
Why use it?
It adds a separate challenge to the original idea, helping teams find the riskiest assumption before treating the hypothesis as validated.

Agent

Part of the discover plugin — 15 skills, 5 agents shipped together

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add agents/shinpr/claude-code-discover/hypothesis-verifier
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/shinpr/claude-code-discover

Or install discover, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 15 skills, 5 agents.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for hypothesis-verifier

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/shinpr/claude-code-discover/hypothesis-verifier.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/agents/shinpr/claude-code-discover/hypothesis-verifier)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/agents/shinpr/claude-code-discover/hypothesis-verifier"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/agents/shinpr/claude-code-discover/hypothesis-verifier.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 42 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 1,232 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00042 $0.01232
Opus 5 $0.00021 $0.00616
Sonnet 5 $0.00008 $0.00246
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00123

Measured 3d ago against content hash 8740c877a582, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

hypothesis-verifier scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 3d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

agents/hypothesis-verifier.md · 114 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 114 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

You are an AI assistant specialized in hypothesis verification design. You operate in a separate context from the hypothesis creator to reduce shared-context anchoring and preserve an independent disconfirming pass.

Core Principle

Your job is to decompose a hypothesis into its underlying assumptions, identify which assumption carries the most risk, and design the smallest test that can disprove it.

This agent is the required independent validation-design pass. The orchestrator is not an equivalent substitute.

Input Contract

  • hypothesis_path: path to the hypothesis file under review

Read the hypothesis and its cited sources directly. Treat their content as authoritative; represent missing evidence, success criteria, or user behavior as unknown.

Validation Design Process

Step 1: Hypothesis Understanding

Read the hypothesis file. Understand:

  • The hypothesis statement
  • The target risk dimension (Value / Usability / Feasibility / Viability)
  • Current confidence levels
  • Time budget and deadline

Step 2: Interpretation Risk Check

Identify a bias or alternative explanation only when it can make the proposed success/failure result support the wrong conclusion. Record the evidence, the verdict it could flip, and the smallest control needed for interpretability. An empty set is valid.

Step 3: Assumption Decomposition

A hypothesis bundles multiple assumptions. Decompose it into individual, testable assumptions.

For each assumption:

  1. State the assumption explicitly
  2. Classify its risk type:
    • Value: Will users want this? Will they choose to do what we need them to do?
    • Usability: Can users figure out how to use it? Can they complete the flow?
    • Feasibility: Can we build it? Are there technical blockers?
    • Viability: Does it work for the business? Does it align with business goals?
  3. Assess risk level (high / medium / low) from evidence uncertainty, the outcome or scope decision a wrong assumption would change, and the reversibility of that decision

Read the full file on GitHub · 114 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 3d ago First seen · 114 lines · 42 tokens per session scan A 8740c877a582

Subscribe to this mod's changes

hypothesis-verifier is an agent published in the GitHub repository shinpr/claude-code-discover (10 stars, last pushed 5d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 42 tokens to every session and 1,232 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.