reality-test

reality-test is a command for coding agents from neurofoo/agent-skills. It costs 0 tokens per session (674 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A method for checking whether the assumptions behind a decision are true by looking for evidence that could disprove them. It also compares the situation with results from similar cases, known as base rates.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to list important assumptions, define what would change your mind, find disconfirming evidence, and check typical outcomes in similar situations.
Why use it?
It reduces confirmation bias—the tendency to notice evidence that supports what you already believe—and can reveal weak reasoning before you commit.

Command

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add commands/neurofoo/agent-skills/reality-test
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/neurofoo/agent-skills

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for reality-test

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/neurofoo/agent-skills/reality-test.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/commands/neurofoo/agent-skills/reality-test)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/commands/neurofoo/agent-skills/reality-test"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/neurofoo/agent-skills/reality-test.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 674 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00000 $0.00674
Opus 5 $0.00000 $0.00337
Sonnet 5 $0.00000 $0.00135
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00067

Measured 4d ago against content hash bbb6042282d3, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

reality-test scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 4d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

wrap/commands/reality-test.md · 108 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 108 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Reality-Test Assumptions

Counter confirmation bias by actively seeking evidence that could prove you wrong. Test assumptions before committing.

Instructions

Identify key assumptions underlying your decision and design ways to test them with real data, not just analysis.

Output Format

Decision/Belief Being Tested: [What we're evaluating]


Identify Assumptions

What are you assuming to be true?

Assumption Confidence Importance
[assumption 1] High/Med/Low High/Med/Low
[assumption 2] High/Med/Low High/Med/Low
[assumption 3] High/Med/Low High/Med/Low

Consider the Opposite

For each key assumption, what would convince you it's wrong?

Assumption What Would Change My Mind
[assumption] [disconfirming evidence]
[assumption] [disconfirming evidence]

Deliberately seek disconfirming evidence: Where can we look for evidence that we're wrong?

  • [Source 1]
  • [Source 2]

Base Rates

What's the general success rate in situations like this?

Situation Base Rate Source
[similar situation] [%] [where we know this from]

Are we assuming we're different from the average? [Yes/No] If yes, what specifically makes us different?


Ooch: Small Bets

Can we test this with a small experiment before fully committing?

What to Test The "Ooch" What We'd Learn Cost/Time
[assumption] [small test] [insight] [cost]
[assumption] [small test] [insight] [cost]

Pilot possibility: [How to test at small scale first]


Ask the Experts

Who has direct experience with this?

Expert/Source What They'd Know How to Reach Them
[who] [their expertise] [how to contact]

What would a skeptic say?

[The best argument against our current view]

Read the full file on GitHub · 108 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 4d ago First seen · 108 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A bbb6042282d3

Subscribe to this mod's changes

reality-test is a command published in the GitHub repository neurofoo/agent-skills (111 stars, last pushed 7mo ago), licensed MIT. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 674 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.