firm-calibration

firm-calibration is a command for Claude Code from ololand-ai/ololand-plugins. It costs 36 tokens per session (1,180 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A command that reports how accurate a firm's past predictions were after comparing them with actual outcomes. It can optionally focus on a sector.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to review prediction accuracy, recurring forecasting biases, risk-category performance, and available outcome data.
Why use it?
It shows whether the firm's forecasts have been reliable and where analysts tend to adjust them.

Command for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: argument-hint in frontmatter.

Part of the ololand-dd plugin — 22 skills, 52 commands, 3 agents shipped together

Good fit Use it to review prediction accuracy, recurring forecasting biases, risk-category performance, and available outcome data.

Compare 6 commands from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add commands/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins/firm-calibration
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install ololand-dd, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 22 skills, 52 commands, 3 agents.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for firm-calibration

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins/firm-calibration.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/commands/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins/firm-calibration)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/commands/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins/firm-calibration"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/ololand-ai/ololand-plugins/firm-calibration.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 36 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 1,180 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00036 $0.01180
Opus 5 $0.00018 $0.00590
Sonnet 5 $0.00007 $0.00236
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00118

Measured 7d ago against content hash 1c6608e9f991, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-08, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

firm-calibration scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 7d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

plugins/ololand-dd/commands/firm-calibration.md · 73 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 73 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Firm Calibration

Answers "how accurate have we been?" — the firm's own track record on predictions that have since been scored against realized outcomes. This is the institutional-memory read behind any claim that a forecast from this firm is trustworthy.

Firm-wide by construction. There is no deal argument: the scope always comes from your authenticated workspace, and the tool cannot be pointed at another firm's data.

Usage

/firm-calibration [sector=<sector>]

Arguments

  • sector (optional) — restrict to one deal sector, e.g. sector=Healthcare. See the coverage caveat below: this filter does not reach every section.

Execution

  1. Call mcp__ololand__get_firm_calibration, passing sector only if the user gave one.
  2. Check suppressed first. If suppressed: true with suppression_reason: "ethical_wall_enforced", stop and report that calibration is withheld for this workspace because it carries an enforced ethical wall — the underlying sources aggregate company-wide and cannot be filtered to the deals you're cleared for. This is not "no data" and must never be reported as an un-calibrated firm.
  3. Read coverage and total_with_outcomes before quoting any accuracy figure. overall_accuracy is computed only over predictions with a realized actual recorded. A firm with a handful of closed deals will produce a confident-looking percentage resting on very little.
    • If total_with_outcomes is small, say "insufficient calibration history" and report the sample size. Do not manufacture a verdict on the firm's reliability from a thin sample.
    • Always report the sample size next to the number, never the number alone.
  4. Report the sections that carry data. Skip empty ones rather than printing empty tables.
  5. If the user asked how a specific deal's projections should shift given this history, that is /calibrate-vs-history — this command gives the firm-level picture, not a per-deal adjustment.

Reading the payload honestly

Read the full file on GitHub · 73 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 7d ago First seen · 73 lines · 36 tokens per session scan A 1c6608e9f991

Subscribe to this mod's changes

firm-calibration is a command published in the GitHub repository ololand-ai/ololand-plugins (0 stars, last pushed 3d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 36 tokens to every session and 1,180 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.