hypothesis

hypothesis is a command for Claude Code from ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills. It costs 0 tokens per session (3,282 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A hypothesis-planning tool that turns an idea into a statement that can be tested, with success measures, risks, a validation plan, and criteria for stopping. It evaluates risks across value, usability, viability, and feasibility.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to prepare a feature experiment, align a team before requesting resources, assess risks, or formalize a solution hypothesis from an Opportunity Solution Tree.
Why use it?
It replaces vague opinions with a clear prediction and a defined way to learn whether it is wrong. Setting success and failure conditions early helps reduce confirmation bias.

Command for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: a Claude Code command (commands/*.md).

Good fit Use it to prepare a feature experiment, align a team before requesting resources, assess risks, or formalize a solution hypothesis from an Opportunity Solution Tree.

Compare 6 commands from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for hypothesis

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for hypothesis

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/commands/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/hypothesis.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Only the description is in the session, so the agent can decide to use it. The body loads when it is invoked.
When invoked 3,282 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00000 $0.03282
Opus 5 $0.00000 $0.01641
Sonnet 5 $0.00000 $0.00656
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00328

Measured 8d ago against content hash 3642b66b4cf9, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

hypothesis scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

Copies of this mod

1 near-identical copy found in the catalogue:

commands/hypothesis.md · 321 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 321 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

/hypothesis

O que essa skill faz

Gera uma hipótese testável e estruturada com métricas de sucesso, avaliação de risco em 4 categorias (Value, Usability, Viability, Feasibility) e plano de validação. Transforma intuições vagas em statements falsificáveis com kill criteria.

Saída: Hypothesis card completa — pronta para alinhar o time e desenhar experimento.


Quando usar

  • Tem uma ideia de feature e quer validar antes de construir
  • Precisa estruturar o pensamento antes de pedir recursos ao time
  • Quer definir critérios claros de sucesso e fracasso antes de começar
  • Está usando Opportunity Solution Tree e precisa formalizar a hypothesis de uma solução
  • Quer evitar o viés de confirmação — definir o que te faria desistir ANTES de testar

Input esperado

Mínimo:

  • Ideia/mudança proposta: O que quer fazer ou mudar
  • Usuário-alvo: Quem será impactado
  • Problema que resolve: Qual dor ou necessidade endereça

Opcional:

  • Dados de discovery (entrevistas, analytics)
  • Baseline atual da métrica
  • Constraints (timeline, budget, capacidade técnica)
  • Experimentos anteriores relacionados
  • Opportunity Solution Tree (se já existe)

Processo

  1. Formular a crença (Belief) — Escrever a hipótese no formato: "Acreditamos que [ação/mudança] para [usuário-alvo] vai [resultado esperado] medido por [métrica] atingindo [target] em [prazo]." A hipótese DEVE ser falsificável — se qualquer resultado confirma, não é hipótese.

  2. Especificar o usuário-alvo — Definir segmento específico, não "usuários". Incluir: quem é, qual o contexto, por que esse grupo especificamente. Quanto mais específico, mais útil o teste.

  3. Definir resultado esperado — Descrever a mudança de comportamento do usuário (não métrica interna). Ex: "usuários vão completar onboarding" em vez de "vamos reduzir churn". O comportamento causa a métrica, não o contrário.

  4. Estabelecer métricas de sucesso — Definir 3 tipos:

    • Primary metric: A métrica principal que a hipótese move
    • Secondary metric: Métrica complementar que confirma o mecanismo
    • Guardrail metric: Métrica que NÃO pode piorar (efeito colateral)

Read the full file on GitHub · 321 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 8d ago First seen · 321 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 3642b66b4cf9

Subscribe to this mod's changes

hypothesis is a command published in the GitHub repository ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills (112 stars, last pushed 3mo ago), licensed MIT. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 3,282 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.