analyze-trajectory

analyze-trajectory is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from Agent-Engineer-Master/skill-engineer. It costs 210 tokens per session (2,518 once invoked), scanned C, original, MIT.

An industry-analysis skill that maps how a market and its underlying technology may develop over time. It examines adoption stages, technology life cycles, business segments, major changes, competitive advantages, and possible future scenarios.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to produce a forward-looking industry trajectory report, classify at least three market segments by planning horizon, assess regulatory, technology, and behavior changes, and compare base, bear, and bull outcomes.
Why use it?
It helps replace simple trend extrapolation with a structured view of turning points, uncertainties, and events that could change the direction of an industry. It also makes the timing and evidence behind each claim explicit.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/agent-engineer-master/skill-engineer/analyze-trajectory
Any agent
npx skills add Agent-Engineer-Master/skill-engineer --skill analyze-trajectory
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Agent-Engineer-Master/skill-engineer

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for analyze-trajectory

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agent-engineer-master/skill-engineer/analyze-trajectory.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/agent-engineer-master/skill-engineer/analyze-trajectory)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agent-engineer-master/skill-engineer/analyze-trajectory"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agent-engineer-master/skill-engineer/analyze-trajectory.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 210 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,518 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan C 1 finding. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00210 $0.02518
Opus 5 $0.00105 $0.01259
Sonnet 5 $0.00042 $0.00504
Haiku 4.5 $0.00021 $0.00252

Measured 3d ago against content hash 46752e7c353c, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade C, and why

analyze-trajectory scanned grade C with 1 finding against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 3d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 1 executable file (scripts/validate_trajectory.py), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Hidden instructionshighPrompt injection

Directives inside HTML comments, invisible characters or bidirectional overrides are read by the model and not by the person reviewing the file.

<!-- Built with Agent Engineer Master — get your own production-ready skill: www.agentengineermaster.com/skill-engineer -->
strategy/industry-analysis/analyze-trajectory/SKILL.md · 122 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 122 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Analyze Trajectory

For a defined industry, analyze direction of travel: dual S-curve position, Three Horizons portfolio overlay on G3 sub-segments, discontinuities, Helmer Power Progression, and base/bear/bull scenarios. Output: trajectory.md.

The discipline: trajectory is not extrapolation. Linear continuation past an inflection is the most common failure mode. Every assessment must name the diagnostic signal, the timing window, and the swing variable that could falsify it.

Iron rules:

  • Every claim about trajectory carries a V/C/A/I tag — see ../_shared/provenance-tagging.md.
  • Dual S-curve mandatory — assess BOTH market-adoption lifecycle AND technology lifecycle. They desynchronize. Skipping either = analysis failure.
  • ≥3 G3 sub-segments classified into H1 / H2 / H3 (consume from size-market when present).
  • ≥2 discontinuities named with explicit year-range timing windows (e.g., "2026-2028"). "Soon" / "coming" / "eventually" fail validation.
  • Power Progression: name which of Helmer's 7 Powers are buildable NOW, in YEAR 3, in YEAR 5, and which are CLOSED. Late entrants cannot build Counter-Positioning in a mature industry.
  • Scenarios: base / bear / bull with ≥3 named swing variables (not "growth higher / growth lower"). Swing variables must be independent and falsifiable.
  • 5-year forward horizon is the default; longer horizons require explicit justification.

Process

1. Intake

Confirm: industry slug, geographic scope, 5-year horizon (or justified alternative), and G3 sub-segment source. Check working/market-sizing.md in the same industry folder. If present, extract the G3 sub-segment table for Step 3 consumption. If absent (standalone mode), ask the user to supply ≥3 named sub-segments OR run size-market first. Record the source in the output header ("G3 source: working/market-sizing.md" or "G3 source: user-supplied at intake").

2. Dual S-curve assessment

Read references/s-curve-methodology.md. Produce TWO assessments:

Read the full file on GitHub · 122 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 3d ago First seen · 122 lines · 210 tokens per session scan C 46752e7c353c

Subscribe to this mod's changes

analyze-trajectory is a skill published in the GitHub repository Agent-Engineer-Master/skill-engineer (8 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 210 tokens to every session and 2,518 once invoked, about $0.0011 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it C with 1 finding (hidden instructions). No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.