leading-indicators

leading-indicators is a skill for Claude Code from agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence. It costs 36 tokens per session (1,967 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

An economic analysis tool for studying signals that may change before the wider economy, such as manufacturing surveys, interest rates, jobless claims, and building permits.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to review leading indicators, examine the yield curve, assess consumer sentiment and jobless claims, and look for possible economic turning points.
Why use it?
It helps turn scattered economic data into a view of possible growth slowdowns, recoveries, or recessions. It can also relate those signals to a long-term investing stance.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter.

Part of the macro-strategy plugin — 4 skills, 3 commands shipped together

Good fit Use it to review leading indicators, examine the yield curve, assess consumer sentiment and jobless claims, and look for possible economic turning points.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill leading-indicators
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install macro-strategy, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 4 skills, 3 commands.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for leading-indicators

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for leading-indicators

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/leading-indicators.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 36 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,967 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00036 $0.01967
Opus 5 $0.00018 $0.00983
Sonnet 5 $0.00007 $0.00393
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00197

Measured 6d ago against content hash 7b210a5f2b71, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

leading-indicators scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

plugins/vertical-plugins/macro-strategy/skills/agentii/leading-indicators/SKILL.md · 135 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 135 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Methodology inspired by publicly taught trading frameworks; all text is an original paraphrase.

Defaults

Parameter Default Value Rationale
lookback_quarters 4 Standard window for leading-indicators
gdp_forecast_lag 6 months S&P 500 leads GDP with maximum statistical significance at the 6-month horizon (10-year rolling correlation avg: 0.56, 1960–2020)
indicator_frequency weekly Money-market and survey indicators are tracked weekly; GDP is quarterly
portfolio_bias long / neutral / short Macro view resolves to one of three biases governing portfolio construction

Preflight

Run canonical pre-flight per contracts/preflight.md. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.

Data Source Priority

  1. Leading indicators framework — references/leading-indicators-framework.md (bundled methodology)
  2. Knowledge entries — query search_knowledge_entries for supplementary L1 frameworks
  3. Historical analogues — query search_by_analogue(market_regime, event_type)
  4. Real-time data — FRED (real rates, yield curve, money supply, credit spreads), ISM PMI, UMCSI, jobless claims, building permits, commodity prices, DXY

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

structured_only

Retrieval Strategy

This skill follows Branch (d) Simple Lookup from contracts/retrieval.md: query knowledge entries for L1 macro and leading-indicator frameworks; query search_by_analogue for historical regime analogues resolved from the indicator panel. No unstructured document retrieval.

Temporal Scope

See frontmatter temporal_scope block.

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

The Pro-Trader Systematic macroeconomic framework: predict GDP → predict stock-market returns. S&P 500 leads GDP by 6 months (10-year rolling correlation avg 0.56). Two analytical axes: Growth drives earnings (E); Liquidity drives price (P). Detailed indicator methodology, thresholds, and decision rules are in references/leading-indicators-framework.md.

Read the full file on GitHub · 135 lines

Files

What ships with it

4 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 135 lines · 36 tokens per session scan A 7b210a5f2b71

Subscribe to this mod's changes

leading-indicators is a skill published in the GitHub repository agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence (204 stars, last pushed today), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 36 tokens to every session and 1,967 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-05.

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