rate-cycle

rate-cycle is a skill for Claude Code from agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence. It costs 46 tokens per session (708 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A framework for analysing changes in interest rates and central-bank policy, including the relationship between short- and long-term borrowing costs. It also covers bond-market measures such as the yield curve, which compares rates for different maturities.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to classify the rate cycle, examine yield-curve spreads and inflation expectations, interpret central-bank projections, and assess bond duration.
Why use it?
It organises rate-cycle analysis instead of relying on a single forecast, helping explain whether policy is tightening, pausing, or easing and how markets may be pricing that path.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter.

Part of the macro-strategy plugin — 4 skills, 3 commands shipped together

Good fit Use it to classify the rate cycle, examine yield-curve spreads and inflation expectations, interpret central-bank projections, and assess bond duration.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill rate-cycle
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install macro-strategy, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 4 skills, 3 commands.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for rate-cycle

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for rate-cycle

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/rate-cycle.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 46 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 708 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00046 $0.00708
Opus 5 $0.00023 $0.00354
Sonnet 5 $0.00009 $0.00142
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00071

Measured 7d ago against content hash cc4bb83f17e0, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

rate-cycle scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 7d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

plugins/vertical-plugins/macro-strategy/skills/agentii/rate-cycle/SKILL.md · 93 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 93 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Defaults

Parameter Default Value Rationale
lookback_quarters 8 Captures full rate cycle from hiking to cutting
key_indicators fed_funds, 2s10s_spread, dot_plot, inflation_breakevens Core rate cycle indicators

Preflight

Run canonical pre-flight per contracts/preflight.md. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.

Data Source Priority

  1. Knowledge entries (L1 rate cycle frameworks) -> 2. search_by_analogue(market_regime: rate-shock) -> 3. Real-time data

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

structured_only

Retrieval Strategy

Query knowledge entries for rate cycle frameworks; query search_by_analogue for historical rate cycles; supplement with real-time data.

Temporal Scope

See frontmatter temporal_scope block.

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

  1. Rate Cycle Phase — classify hiking/plateau/cutting/emergency
  2. Yield Curve Analysis — 2s10s spread, 3m10y, breakeven inflation
  3. Framework Application — Taylor Rule, duration management
  4. Analogue Retrieval — past rate cycles matching current phase

Output File

{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_rate-cycle_{affix}.md

Output Structure

  1. Executive Summary — key findings in 2-3 sentences
  2. Core Analysis — applied frameworks with specific evidence
  3. Quantitative Indicators — key metrics and benchmarks
  4. Historical Analogues — matched cases with /v/cases/ citations
  5. Risk Assessment — key risk factors and mitigants
  6. Coverage Gaps — data limitations and degraded flags Rate Cycle Phase 3. Yield Curve Decomposition 4. Central Bank Posture 5. Duration and Curve Positioning 6. Historical Analogues 7. Scenarios

Error Handling

Error Fallback
No frameworks Proceed with standard indicators; flag degraded

Memory Load

See contracts/memory-load.md.

Snapshot

See contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.

Final Summary (TUI)

Read the full file on GitHub · 93 lines

Files

What ships with it

3 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 7d ago First seen · 93 lines · 46 tokens per session scan A cc4bb83f17e0

Subscribe to this mod's changes

rate-cycle is a skill published in the GitHub repository agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence (204 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 46 tokens to every session and 708 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-05.

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