wick-base-rate

wick-base-rate is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from agoradynamics/wick. It costs 48 tokens per session (672 once invoked), scanned A, original, no licence file.

A skill that makes probability estimates start with base rates: how often similar cases have happened before. It then allows adjustments based on the specific case instead of relying only on intuition.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it before `/calibrate` or whenever someone estimates a probability from intuition rather than evidence.
Why use it?
It reduces guesses based on feelings by grounding estimates in a comparable group and its historical frequency.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/agoradynamics/wick/wick-base-rate
Any agent
npx skills add agoradynamics/wick --skill wick-base-rate
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agoradynamics/wick

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for wick-base-rate

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agoradynamics/wick/wick-base-rate.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/agoradynamics/wick/wick-base-rate)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/agoradynamics/wick/wick-base-rate"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/agoradynamics/wick/wick-base-rate.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 48 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 672 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin unknown No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00048 $0.00672
Opus 5 $0.00024 $0.00336
Sonnet 5 $0.00010 $0.00134
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00067

Measured 4d ago against content hash 3fd6eccc4b85, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

wick-base-rate scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 4d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

.claude/skills/wick-base-rate/SKILL.md · 65 lines

The source is not reproduced here

No licence file

A repository with no LICENSE is all rights reserved by default, so the body is not copied here. The metadata, the measurements and the link are.

Read it on GitHub

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 4d ago First seen · 65 lines · 48 tokens per session scan A 3fd6eccc4b85

Subscribe to this mod's changes

wick-base-rate is a skill published in the GitHub repository agoradynamics/wick (3 stars, last pushed yesterday), with no licence file. It adds 48 tokens to every session and 672 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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