prediction-market-arbitrage-zh

prediction-market-arbitrage-zh is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from AIsa-team/agent-skills. It costs 96 tokens per session (1,224 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A skill that searches Polymarket and Kalshi for possible price differences on matching prediction markets. It compares the markets and checks order-book depth, which shows how much trading is available at each price.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to scan sports markets by date, compare a specific Polymarket or Kalshi market, calculate spreads, and inspect liquidity on both platforms.
Why use it?
It helps identify apparent cross-platform arbitrage opportunities and check whether there is enough available trading volume before acting. A price difference alone does not guarantee that a trade can be completed profitably.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Which agent this was written for is unclear — built for openclaw. Also seen: positional $N argument; mentions Claude Code; built for openclaw.

Good fit Use it to scan sports markets by date, compare a specific Polymarket or Kalshi market, calculate spreads, and inspect liquidity on both platforms.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add AIsa-team/agent-skills --skill prediction-market-arbitrage-zh
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/AIsa-team/agent-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for prediction-market-arbitrage-zh

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for prediction-market-arbitrage-zh

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/aisa-team/agent-skills/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 96 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,224 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00096 $0.01224
Opus 5 $0.00048 $0.00612
Sonnet 5 $0.00019 $0.00245
Haiku 4.5 $0.00010 $0.00122

Measured 12d ago against content hash dc58f8c3b166, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

prediction-market-arbitrage-zh scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 2 executable files (scripts/arbitrage_finder.py, scripts/prediction_market_client.py), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

Copies of this mod

1 near-identical copy found in the catalogue:

financial/prediction-market-arbitrage-zh/SKILL.md · 114 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 114 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

预测市场套利

通过 AIsa API 发现 PolymarketKalshi 之间的套利机会。

配置

export AISA_API_KEY="your-key"

aisa.one 获取 Key($0.01/次查询,按量付费)。

工作流程

发现套利机会的步骤:

  1. 扫描匹配市场scan 批量扫描,match 分析特定市场)
  2. 查看价差 — 工具自动计算跨平台价格差异
  3. 验证流动性 — 用 prediction_market_client.py orderbooks 检查订单簿深度后再行动

快速示例

扫描某项运动的套利机会

# 扫描指定日期所有 NBA 市场 — 自动显示价差
python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py scan nba --date 2025-04-01

分析特定市场

# 通过 Polymarket slug
python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py match --polymarket-slug <slug>

# 通过 Kalshi ticker
python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py match --kalshi-ticker <ticker>

行动前验证流动性

# 检查两边的订单簿深度
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py polymarket orderbooks --token-id <id>
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py kalshi orderbooks --ticker <ticker>

命令参考

arbitrage_finder.py — 自动检测

python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py scan <运动类型> --date <YYYY-MM-DD> [--min-spread <百分比>] [--min-liquidity <美元>] [--json]
python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py match --polymarket-slug <slug> [--min-spread <百分比>] [--min-liquidity <美元>] [--json]
python3 scripts/arbitrage_finder.py match --kalshi-ticker <ticker> [--min-spread <百分比>] [--min-liquidity <美元>] [--json]

支持:nbanflmlbnhlsoccertennis

prediction_market_client.py — 原始市场数据

用于手动价格检查和深入分析。

# 搜索市场
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py polymarket markets --search <关键词> --status open --limit 5
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py kalshi markets --search <关键词> --status open --limit 5

# 获取价格(使用 markets 输出中的 token_id / market_ticker)
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py polymarket price <token_id>
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py kalshi price <market_ticker>

# 跨平台体育市场匹配
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py sports by-date <运动类型> --date <YYYY-MM-DD>
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py sports matching (--polymarket-slug <slug> | --kalshi-ticker <ticker>)

# 订单簿深度
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py polymarket orderbooks --token-id <id>
python3 scripts/prediction_market_client.py kalshi orderbooks --ticker <ticker>

Read the full file on GitHub · 114 lines

Files

What ships with it

2 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 114 lines · 96 tokens per session scan A dc58f8c3b166

Subscribe to this mod's changes

prediction-market-arbitrage-zh is a skill published in the GitHub repository AIsa-team/agent-skills (25 stars, last pushed 2d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 96 tokens to every session and 1,224 once invoked, about $0.0005 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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