flag-speculative-statements

flag-speculative-statements is a skill for Claude Code from alivirgo/Major-AI-Skills. It costs 23 tokens per session (935 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A set of instructions for making an AI label statements as verified facts, rules of thumb, or guesses. These labels make uncertainty visible instead of presenting every claim with the same confidence.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it when reviewing research, financial claims, technical advice, or any answer where separating known facts from assumptions and speculation matters.
Why use it?
It reduces the risk of treating estimates and predictions as confirmed information.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin. Also seen: positional $N argument; mentions Codex.

Part of the major-ai-skills plugin — 147 skills, 8 plugins shipped together

Good fit Use it when reviewing research, financial claims, technical advice, or any answer where separating known facts from assumptions and speculation matters.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add alivirgo/Major-AI-Skills --skill flag-speculative-statements
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/alivirgo/Major-AI-Skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install major-ai-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 147 skills, 8 plugins.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for flag-speculative-statements

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for flag-speculative-statements

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/alivirgo/major-ai-skills/flag-speculative-statements.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 23 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 935 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00023 $0.00935
Opus 5 $0.00012 $0.00467
Sonnet 5 $0.00005 $0.00187
Haiku 4.5 $0.00002 $0.00093

Measured yesterday against content hash 5864b1942bdc, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

flag-speculative-statements scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured yesterday.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/flag-speculative-statements/SKILL.md · 90 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 90 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Ask AI to Flag Speculative Statements (Epistemic Tagging) (AI Skill)

Overview

Because AI models are trained to write in a consistent, authoritative tone, they deliver a verified historical date ("The Apollo 11 moon landing was in 1969") and an unverified financial estimate ("Competitor X generates $45M in ARR") using the exact same confident cadence.

The Epistemic Tagging Protocol forces the AI to prepend explicit visual markers ([VERIFIED FACT], [HEURISTIC / ESTIMATE], [SPECULATION]) to its claims, making uncertainty instantly recognizable.


The 3-Tier Epistemic Tagging Schema

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                 The Epistemic Tagging System                │
│                                                             │
│  [VERIFIED FACT]    ──► Established data, code syntax, or   │
│                         explicitly quoted text in source    │
│  [HEURISTIC]        ──► Industry rule-of-thumb or standard  │
│                         statistical pattern                 │
│  [SPECULATION]      ──► Educated guess, prediction, or      │
│                         unverified market projection        │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Master Epistemic Tagging Prompt Templates

Pattern 1: The Tagged Market & Intelligence Brief

Use for market research, competitor teardowns, and trend forecasting:

Analyze [COMPETITOR / MARKET TREND / TOPIC].

Formatting Directive:
Every paragraph or major bullet point MUST begin with one of these 3 epistemic tags:
- `[VERIFIED FACT]`: If supported by public SEC filings, official documentation, or verified press releases.
- `[HEURISTIC / ESTIMATE]`: If derived from industry benchmarks or standard sizing models.
- `[SPECULATION]`: If based on rumors, future projections, or AI deduction.

Do not smooth over uncertainties with confident language.

Pattern 2: The "Admit Unknowns" Guardrail

Use for scientific, technical, or regulatory inquiries:

Read the full file on GitHub · 90 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. yesterday Changed · -16 tokens per session 5864b1942bdc
  2. 7d ago First seen · 90 lines · 39 tokens per session scan A 087f35026597

Subscribe to this mod's changes

flag-speculative-statements is a skill published in the GitHub repository alivirgo/Major-AI-Skills (1 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 23 tokens to every session and 935 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-05.

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