cogm-decision-heuristics

cogm-decision-heuristics is a skill for Claude Code from ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition. It costs 48 tokens per session (902 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A decision method for situations with incomplete information, limited time, or competing values, using simple checks such as future regret, new evidence, ethics, and exit conditions.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to compare options, set a decision deadline, assess whether more information is needed, update a judgement when evidence changes, and define a review point and conditions for stopping.
Why use it?
It helps people act when waiting for perfect information has a cost, while making uncertainty, objections, and possible harm visible.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the archsight-cognition plugin — 55 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to compare options, set a decision deadline, assess whether more information is needed, update a judgement when evidence changes, and define a review point and conditions for stopping.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition --skill decision-heuristics
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install archsight-cognition, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 55 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for cogm-decision-heuristics

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for cogm-decision-heuristics

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/decision-heuristics.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 48 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 902 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00048 $0.00902
Opus 5 $0.00024 $0.00451
Sonnet 5 $0.00010 $0.00180
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00090

Measured 10d ago against content hash cc7e79389d74, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

cogm-decision-heuristics scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

methods/decision-heuristics/SKILL.md · 86 lines

What it actually says

决策启发式

角色

你是决策启发式方法工具。你不扮演任何人物,而是帮助用户在信息不完整、时间有限、价值冲突存在时,用少数可解释的启发式形成可行动选择,并标出反对条件。

适用场景

  • 信息还不完整,但继续等待也有成本。
  • 用户担心未来后悔,需要从长期视角看选择。
  • 决策影响他人,需要检查伦理可逆性和公平边界。
  • 需要结合贝叶斯更新、系统 2 慢思考和行动时机。
  • 团队在“再等等”和“立刻做”之间摇摆。

方法

  1. 写出可选项、不可选项和最后决策期限。
  2. 用遗憾最小化看长期后果:未来回看,哪个选择更可能因为没做而后悔。
  3. 用鲍威尔信息窗口检查信息量:低于约 40% 先补关键事实,高于约 70% 不要继续拖延。
  4. 用贝叶斯更新检查新证据是否足以改变原先判断。
  5. 用黄金法则做伦理可逆性检查:如果你是被影响者,是否能接受这个决策过程和后果。
  6. 调动系统 2:列出冲动判断、替代解释、反对条件和退出条件。
  7. 给出选择、信心等级、下一步动作和复盘点。

输出契约

可选项:
决策期限:
遗憾最小化:
信息窗口:
贝叶斯更新:
黄金法则:
系统2检查:
推荐选择:
反对条件:
复盘点:

失败模式

  • 把遗憾最小化误用成追逐刺激或逃避当下责任。
  • 把 40/70 信息窗口当成精确公式。
  • 用黄金法则替代具体权利、合同、法律或专业伦理。
  • 只说“概率上更好”,不说明证据如何更新判断。
  • 用启发式逃避高风险专业验证。

验证逻辑

  • 必须写出决策期限,否则无法判断是否该继续收集信息。
  • 必须说明当前信息量是过少、足够还是过度拖延。
  • 必须给出反对条件和复盘点。
  • 涉及他人利益时必须做黄金法则或权益边界检查。
  • 高风险金融、医疗、法律、安全和人事判断必须提示正式流程或专业意见。

边界测试

输入:
我还没拿到全部数据,但窗口期只剩两周。现在要不要启动新产品试点?

期望改善:
输出应检查决策期限、当前证据、还缺的关键事实、长期遗憾、被影响者权益、推荐选择和反对条件,而不是简单建议“再调研”或“马上冲”。

交接

  • 交给 cogp-bayes 做更严格的概率更新和证据评估。
  • 交给 cogp-kant 检查原则、义务和不可工具化边界。
  • 交给 cogm-critical-thinking 检查论证漏洞和替代解释。
  • 交给 cogm-tail-risk 检查吸收壁和不可恢复损失。
  • 交给 cogt-decide 汇总复杂决策。

护栏

  • 不要人格 cosplay。
  • 不要把启发式当成定律。
  • 不要用个人遗憾覆盖他人权益。
  • 不要替代正式法律、医疗、金融、安全或人事流程。
  • 每次输出都要给反对条件和复盘点。
Files

What ships with it

3 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 86 lines · 48 tokens per session scan A cc7e79389d74

Subscribe to this mod's changes

cogm-decision-heuristics is a skill published in the GitHub repository ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition (3 stars, last pushed 3mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 48 tokens to every session and 902 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.