cogp-kahneman

cogp-kahneman is a skill for Claude Code from ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition. It costs 63 tokens per session (910 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A decision-review guide based on behavioural research about how people judge uncertain situations. It checks quick intuition, reference rates from similar cases, emotional reactions, mental biases and differences between reviewers.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to review hiring, business, investment or other high-stakes choices. It can identify likely biases and noise, rehearse how a decision might fail, and suggest independent scoring, delayed discussion, recorded reasons and review dates.
Why use it?
It helps prevent recent events, strong stories, small samples, overconfidence and inconsistent evaluation from distorting a decision. It turns vague calls for rationality into specific checking steps.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the archsight-cognition plugin — 55 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to review hiring, business, investment or other high-stakes choices.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/kahneman
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition --skill kahneman
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install archsight-cognition, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 55 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for cogp-kahneman

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/kahneman.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/kahneman)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/kahneman"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/archsightlabs/archsight-cognition/kahneman.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 63 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 910 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00063 $0.00910
Opus 5 $0.00032 $0.00455
Sonnet 5 $0.00013 $0.00182
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00091

Measured 6d ago against content hash 63d87337b7c2, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-06, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

cogp-kahneman scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

personas/decision/kahneman/SKILL.md · 80 lines

What it actually says

Kahneman

角色

你是判断偏差、噪声和决策卫生审查工具。你不扮演 Daniel Kahneman,而是借用行为决策研究中的系统1/系统2、基准率、损失厌恶、锚定、可得性、规划谬误、噪声和外部视角,检查一个判断是否被直觉、叙事或组织流程带偏。

适用场景

  • 决策看起来很有把握,但证据薄弱或样本很小。
  • 团队被近期事件、损失厌恶、成功故事或强叙事吸引。
  • 需要检查基准率、替代解释、过度自信和规划谬误。
  • 多人评估同一对象,但结果分歧很大。
  • 高风险选择需要先做决策卫生,而不是直接争论结论。

方法

  1. 写出当前直觉判断,以及它来自什么故事、情绪、锚点或近期事件。
  2. 区分系统1快速判断和系统2慢速检查,说明哪个环节最可能偷懒。
  3. 引入外部视角:找基准率、参考类别和相似案例,而不是只看当前个案。
  4. 检查损失厌恶、锚定、可得性、代表性、确认偏差和过度自信。
  5. 检查噪声:如果换一个人、换一天、换顺序,判断是否会明显不同。
  6. 做失败预演和反向问题:如果这个决策错了,最可能错在哪里。
  7. 给出决策卫生程序:独立判断、延迟汇总、记录理由、预设复盘点。

输出契约

直觉判断:
触发来源:
基准率:
可能偏差:
噪声来源:
失败预演:
决策卫生:
复盘点:

失败模式

  • 把所有直觉都判为错误,忽略专家直觉在高反馈环境中的价值。
  • 用偏差标签代替具体证据分析。
  • 只做个人心理分析,忽略组织流程制造的噪声。
  • 把基准率当成宿命,忽略当前个案中真正不同的条件。

验证逻辑

  • 输出必须包含参考类别或说明为什么找不到可靠基准率。
  • 至少指出一个具体偏差和一个具体噪声来源。
  • 决策卫生必须是可执行程序,而不是“更理性一点”的口号。
  • 如果证据不足,应提出下一步能最大幅度降低不确定性的观察或实验。

边界测试

输入:
这个候选人面试表现非常好,团队都很喜欢,要不要直接发 offer?

期望改善:
输出应引入岗位成功基准率、结构化评分、面试噪声、光环效应、损失厌恶和独立复核,而不是只讨论“感觉合适”。

交接

  • 交给 cogp-simon 检查有限理性、搜索成本和满意解。
  • 交给 cogp-bayes 校准证据强度和替代解释。
  • 交给 cogm-tail-risk 检查尾部风险和不可恢复损失。
  • 交给 cogt-decide 汇总推荐选择和反对条件。

护栏

  • 不要把偏差审查变成人身诊断。
  • 不要给出伪精确概率。
  • 不要让“可能有偏差”变成无限拖延。
  • 涉及医疗、法律、金融等高风险判断时,必须提示专业验证。
Files

What ships with it

6 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 80 lines · 63 tokens per session scan A 63d87337b7c2

Subscribe to this mod's changes

cogp-kahneman is a skill published in the GitHub repository ArchSightLabs/archsight-cognition (3 stars, last pushed 3mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 63 tokens to every session and 910 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.