breadth-audit

Fixed-Capital Breadth Audit

Breadth is measured at FIXED $25k, never inferred from a compounded backtest. This is the whole point of the participation lesson: a headline like "19/21 names" is almost always an artifact.

The breadth illusion

"19/21 names" on a full-cycle run means nothing — it is NAV compounding + distinct-names-over-time. A book that compounds to $300k notional will touch many names across the run while, at cold-start $25k, it funds only the cheapest one or two and strands the rest. The live proof of this: a certified book that "held 19/21" deployed live and only bought OSCR, because at $25k a 5%-per-name budget ($1,200–1,450) only ever afforded the cheapest underlying's LEAP.

Root cause pattern: at low NAV a per-name budget affords only the cheapest name's contract, and the sizing policy strands the budget on unaffordable top-weighted names instead of flowing it to the next affordable one → the book collapses to one name.

How to measure

Use mcp__nexustrade__audit_backtest_breadth at a held-fixed capital base (don't let the run compound). Capture, per the current config:

• simultaneous distinct names held (the headline number — lead with it),
• participation,
• distinctNamesFilled,
• per-name cannotAfford counts.

Run it on the 12-month window and separately on the full cycle. For a live collapse, also pull query_portfolio_events (OptionResolutionAttempt) to see the "Cannot afford even 1 contract" rejections and which names cleared — that is the live evidence.

SelectTop truncates BEFORE affordability

SelectTop N truncates the candidate pool before the affordability backfill runs. A narrow top-N re-creates the single-name collapse — which is exactly why the certified incumbent is top-21 (21 of 21 never truncates, so the rank ORDER only decides funding priority, never membership). If you narrow SelectTop, re-run this audit.

The breadth gate (in certification)

A variant must not degrade cold-start participation vs the incumbent. Concretely for a participation-repair campaign: simultaneous distinct names ≥ target, participation ≥ ~0.5, cannotAfford sharply down vs the before state. A config that certifies but still funds one name is a non-answer — breadth without gain and gain without breadth both FAIL a participation attempt.