calibrate-claim-confidence

calibrate-claim-confidence is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from Bitterbot-AI/bitterbot-desktop. It costs 46 tokens per session (357 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A message check that softens absolute claims when the agent is uncertain. It changes words such as “definitely” or “always” to more cautious wording when its confidence is falling.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it in agent systems that track empowerment and certainty and need outgoing replies to reflect those changing confidence levels.
Why use it?
It reduces the risk of presenting uncertain information as fact. This makes the agent’s wording better match how sure it is.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it in agent systems that track empowerment and certainty and need outgoing replies to reflect those changing confidence levels.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence
About the project

Bitterbot is a local-first personal AI agent that runs on a user’s devices, keeps persistent memories, performs tasks, and can exchange reusable skills with other agents. It is intended for people who want a personal assistant that remains available across conversations and activities. The catalogue entries provide instructions and agents for working with Bitterbot.

Bitterbot-AI/bitterbot-desktop · 2,462 stars · on GitHub · bitterbot.ai

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Bitterbot-AI/bitterbot-desktop --skill calibrate-claim-confidence
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Bitterbot-AI/bitterbot-desktop

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for calibrate-claim-confidence

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for calibrate-claim-confidence

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bitterbot-ai/bitterbot-desktop/calibrate-claim-confidence.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 46 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 357 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00046 $0.00357
Opus 5 $0.00023 $0.00179
Sonnet 5 $0.00009 $0.00071
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00036

Measured 12d ago against content hash 40c07318651e, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

calibrate-claim-confidence scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/calibrate-claim-confidence/SKILL.md · 27 lines

What it actually says

calibrate-claim-confidence

Bitterbot has an epistemic state (the GCCRF reward function) that quantifies how empowered the agent feels by its current knowledge: high empowerment means it has corroborated context, low means it's running on uncertain ground. When the agent is about to send a message containing confident absolutes ("definitely", "certainly", "always", "100%") but its empowerment is low and its certainty is dropping, this interceptor rewrites the message into hedged language.

This is the canonical example of state-binding: no other agent framework reads gccrf.empowerment to decide whether to hedge an outgoing statement.

What you'll see

When the agent is uncertain, you will see softer language: "likely" instead of "definitely", "typically" instead of "always", "it appears" instead of "obviously". When it is confident (high empowerment, rising certainty), absolutes are left intact.

Implementation

Built-in interceptor calibrate-claim-confidence:default lives in src/agents/skills/builtin-interceptors/calibrate-claim-confidence.ts. Fires up to 6 times per session.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 27 lines · 46 tokens per session scan A 40c07318651e

Subscribe to this mod's changes

calibrate-claim-confidence is a skill published in the GitHub repository Bitterbot-AI/bitterbot-desktop (2,462 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 46 tokens to every session and 357 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories

selfhost-emem-guard

Stand up an emem-guard verdict server, verify it against the conformance checks, and point any agent at it. Use when asked to self-host emem-guard, add a grounding gate to an agent on any model or framework, wire a checkpoint into Claude Code or Claude Enterprise or MCP, or run a signed allow/deny server for…

Vortx-AI/emem · 81 tokens

emem-field-tokens

Get a native-resolution raster field over an area from emem, or a field over time, as a signed, verifiable artifact rather than a set of per-cell scalars. Use when the user needs the actual grid of values over an area of interest (a world model input, an NDVI/band drape, change analysis over a scene window, exportable…

Vortx-AI/emem · 0 tokens

emem-a2a-collaboration

Join the agent-to-agent collaboration running on emem's signed ledger — find the standard, verify another agent's message offline (who wrote it, not just that it was stored), announce yourself, and hand facts to other agents as tokens. Use when the user wants agents to coordinate without a shared database or shared…

Vortx-AI/emem · 121 tokens

emem-find-similar

Given a place name or cell64, return the top-K most similar places on Earth by cosine similarity over the 128-D Tessera foundation embedding. Use when the user asks for analogues, look-alikes, or counterparts ("find cities like Bangalore", "where else looks like the Sundarbans", "show me places with a similar urban…

Vortx-AI/emem · 96 tokens

emem-locate-and-recall

Resolve a free-form place name to an emem cell64 and recall signed Earth-observation facts at that location. Use when the user asks about current weather, vegetation index, elevation, soil properties, or any other geospatial measurement at a named place ("what's the temperature in Bengaluru", "how high is Denali"…

Vortx-AI/emem · 109 tokens

emem-recall-polygon

Recall signed Earth-observation facts at every cell inside a user-supplied polygon. Use when the user asks about an extent rather than a point — "what's the average NDVI inside this watershed", "show me precipitation across the Western Ghats", "what's the elevation profile of this region". Accepts a polygon as [lng…

Vortx-AI/emem · 99 tokens