hypothesis-tracking

hypothesis-tracking is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from blisspixel/primr. It costs 38 tokens per session (291 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A research-memory tool for storing a company’s working hypotheses and the evidence behind them. It records whether each hypothesis is untested, validated, invalidated, or confirmed.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to retrieve what is already known about a company, validate a claim, or save a research finding for later work.
Why use it?
It prevents repeated research and keeps assumptions separate from established facts. It also preserves the evidence trail when a confidence level changes.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/blisspixel/primr/hypothesis-tracking
Any agent
npx skills add blisspixel/primr --skill hypothesis-tracking
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/blisspixel/primr

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for hypothesis-tracking

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/blisspixel/primr/hypothesis-tracking.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/blisspixel/primr/hypothesis-tracking)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/blisspixel/primr/hypothesis-tracking"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/blisspixel/primr/hypothesis-tracking.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 38 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 291 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00038 $0.00291
Opus 5 $0.00019 $0.00146
Sonnet 5 $0.00008 $0.00058
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00029

Measured 4d ago against content hash 20e6c72830dc, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

hypothesis-tracking scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 4d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/hypothesis-tracking/SKILL.md · 39 lines

What it actually says

Hypothesis Tracking

Purpose

Use this skill to manage durable research memory for a company. Hypotheses are a working memory layer, not final truth.

Workflow

  1. Retrieve hypotheses before starting duplicate research.

  2. Present confidence clearly: untested, validated, invalidated, or confirmed.

  3. Update confidence only when new evidence exists.

  4. Keep evidence strings short, factual, and source-oriented.

Operating Rules

  • Distinguish known facts from open hypotheses.

  • Preserve the evidence trail when confidence changes.

  • Prefer updating an existing hypothesis over creating duplicates.

  • Expired or weak hypotheses should be re-validated before being presented as current.

Example


get_hypotheses(company="ExampleCo", topic="technology")

save_hypothesis(company="ExampleCo", hypothesis_id="h_001", confidence="validated", evidence="CTO interview confirms AWS usage")
Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 4d ago First seen · 39 lines · 38 tokens per session scan A 20e6c72830dc

Subscribe to this mod's changes

hypothesis-tracking is a skill published in the GitHub repository blisspixel/primr (3 stars, last pushed today), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 38 tokens to every session and 291 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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