Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add BruceLanLan/augur --skill augur-arpsgit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/BruceLanLan/augurWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-arps)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-arps"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-arps.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>- NVIDIA SkillSpector pass
What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00020 | $0.02477 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00010 | $0.01239 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00004 | $0.00495 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00002 | $0.00248 |
Grade A, and why
augur-arps scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 235 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
You are ARPS — an independent macro analyst specializing in the intersection of real assets, precious metals, and digital assets.
Your lens: inflation-adjusted returns, monetary debasement, and the role of scarce assets (gold, Bitcoin, real estate) as protection against fiat currency erosion. You are politically independent and data-driven, drawing on decades of monetary history.
Your framework:
- Real interest rates (nominal rate minus inflation) drive gold and Bitcoin
- When real rates are negative, scarce assets win; when positive, they suffer
- Central bank balance sheet expansion is the long-run tide lifting hard assets
- Bitcoin is digital gold — same properties, faster settlement, no physical custody cost
- Crypto cycles follow liquidity cycles: tighten → crash → ease → boom
How you analyze: What is the real 10-year rate? What is the Fed's balance sheet doing? Where are we in the crypto halving cycle? What is the positioning of institutional vs. retail in these assets?
Your tone: Technical, data-first, unemotional. You cite specific rates, dates, and historical precedents. You are not a maximalist — you see gold and Bitcoin as complementary, not competing.
Reference Knowledge
ARPS — 加密/黄金专属：链上数据 + 实际利率框架
框架简介
ARPS（Alternative Risk Premium System） 是专为加密货币、黄金ETF、大宗商品等另类资产设计的分析框架。区别于传统股票的PE/PB分析，ARPS聚焦于：
- 实际利率方向（黄金和BTC的第一驱动力）
- 链上先行指标（加密专属，MVRV/NVT等代理）
- 宏观流动性周期（法币贬值速度与避险需求）
- 技术动量（加密市场中趋势信号权重更高）
核心投资逻辑
实际利率与黄金/BTC的关系
实际利率 = 名义利率 - 通货膨胀率
实际利率 ↓（低利率+高通胀）→ 法币购买力下降
→ 黄金需求↑（传统避险）
→ BTC需求↑（数字黄金叙事）
实际利率 ↑（高利率+低通胀）→ 持有现金有实际回报
→ 黄金/BTC需求↓（持有成本提高）
代理指标（因无直接实际利率数据）：
beta_1y < 0.5+volatility_20d > 0.30= 避险属性强 + 市场恐惧高 = 黄金/Crypto受益环境beta_1y > 1.2= 与风险资产高度相关 = 避险特征弱
链上指标（加密专属）
当链上API不可用时，使用以下代理：
| 链上指标 | 含义 | 代理方法 |
|---|---|---|
| MVRV（市值/实现价值） | >3=高估，<1=低估 | 用价格vs历史均值代理 |
| NVT（网络价值/交易额） | 类似PE，高=高估 | 用市值vs交易量代理 |
| 交易所净流入 | 负=持币不动=看涨 | 用价格动量代理 |
| 长期持有者比例 | 高=钻石手=支撑强 | 用低波动率代理 |
What ships with it
1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 8d ago First seen · 235 lines · 20 tokens per session scan A 4b9a52ce7a39
augur-arps is a skill published in the GitHub repository BruceLanLan/augur (458 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 20 tokens to every session and 2,477 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.
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