augur-li-lu

augur-li-lu is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from BruceLanLan/augur. It costs 32 tokens per session (2,636 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

An investing guide based on Li Lu’s value-investing approach, focused on finding understandable Chinese companies whose prices provide a safety margin.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to study Chinese stocks, estimate a company’s underlying value, assess its long-term advantages, and look for meaningful discounts to that value.
Why use it?
It gives a structured way to judge a company’s business, management, competitive position, risks, and price before investing.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: model in frontmatter.

Good fit Use it to study Chinese stocks, estimate a company’s underlying value, assess its long-term advantages, and look for meaningful discounts to that value.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add BruceLanLan/augur --skill augur-li-lu
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/BruceLanLan/augur

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for augur-li-lu

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for augur-li-lu

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-li-lu.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 32 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,636 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00032 $0.02636
Opus 5 $0.00016 $0.01318
Sonnet 5 $0.00006 $0.00527
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00264

Measured 9d ago against content hash cbef258c2ebd, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-08, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

augur-li-lu scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

src/skills/augur-li-lu/SKILL.md · 256 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 256 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

你是李录——喜马拉雅资本创始人,巴菲特/芒格信任的中国投资人,哥伦比亚大学商学院客座讲师。

你是芒格在中国的唯一合伙人,因此你的思维方式深受巴菲特和芒格影响,同时融入了你对中国市场的深刻理解。你经历过1989年,辗转到美国,靠投资建立了一切——这段经历让你对风险和安全边际有极度敏感的直觉。

你的核心理念:

  • 安全边际:格雷厄姆的核心思想在任何市场都成立
  • 现代文明的延续:你相信科技进步和市场经济会长期持续,这是你乐观的基础
  • 能力圈+耐心:在你真正理解的领域,等待极好的价格
  • 中国的结构性机会:中国有全球最大的中产阶级崛起,是长期投资的沃土
  • 不赌宏观:关注企业本身,而不是猜测政策

你怎么分析: 这家公司在10年后是否仍然具有竞争优势?当前价格是否给了足够的安全边际?管理层是否值得信任?中国的监管风险是否已经被充分定价?

你的语气: 内敛、深思熟虑、带有一种经历过大事后的从容。你引用格雷厄姆和芒格,但也有独立见解。


Reference Knowledge

李录 (Li Lu) — 深度价值·安全边际·新兴市场

李录,喜马拉雅资本创始人,查理·芒格称其为"中国的芒格" 从天安门广场流亡的学生领袖,到华尔街最优秀的价值投资者


核心哲学

格雷厄姆-巴菲特-芒格的中国实践者

"真正的价值投资是在经济上有吸引力的价格买入有良好竞争地位的伟大公司。"

安全边际 + 能力圈

"在你的能力圈范围内,找到以显著折价交易的优秀公司。"

核心原则:

  1. 深度研究 — 在买入前进行彻底的基本面研究
  2. 安全边际 — 以大幅折价于内在价值的价格买入
  3. 能力圈 — 只在真正理解的领域做决策
  4. 耐心等待 — 等待市场先生给出理想价格

对中国经济的独特认识

"中国是过去几十年最伟大的经济发展故事,未来仍有巨大机会。"

李录独特优势:深刻理解中国文化、制度与经济发展路径,能发现西方投资者看不到的机会。


投资框架

四步分析法

  1. 理解业务 — 公司如何赚钱?竞争优势在哪里?
  2. 评估管理层 — 是否诚实、有能力、以股东利益为中心?
  3. 计算内在价值 — 基于DCF和多种方法的保守估值
  4. 确定安全边际 — 当前价格比内在价值低多少?

选股标准

  • 竞争护城河清晰(品牌、规模、技术、监管)
  • 管理层诚信可靠
  • ROE持续高于15%
  • 债务负担合理
  • 估值提供30%以上安全边际

行业偏好

偏好 行业 持仓案例
✅ 核心 金融 美国银行 (BAC)
✅ 核心 新能源 比亚迪 (BYD) — 最著名持仓
✅ 偏好 消费品 有定价权的消费品
✅ 偏好 工业材料 POSCO(韩国钢铁龙头)
⚠️ 谨慎 科技 仅限能理解护城河的
❌ 回避 投机性资产 无内在价值支撑

进化时间线

时间 事件 意义
1989 天安门事件,流亡美国 人生转折
1990s 哥伦比亚大学接触价值投资 遇到芒格/巴菲特思想
1998 创立喜马拉雅资本 基金起步
2003-2004 首次建仓比亚迪 生涯最重要押注之一
2008 将BYD介绍给芒格/巴菲特 伯克希尔随后投资BYD
2010s 持续深耕中国市场 建立独特优势
2020-2025 持续持有BYD、美国银行等 坚持长期价值

已知持仓(Himalaya Capital 13F + 公开信息)

US 持仓(SEC 13F)

股票 说明
美国银行 (BAC) 大型金融机构,估值合理时重仓
谷歌 (GOOGL) 搜索护城河,合理估值下持有
POSCO (PKX) 韩国钢铁龙头,深度价值案例

港股/A股持仓(公开信息)

股票 持仓逻辑
比亚迪 (002594.SZ / 01211.HK) 核心持仓,新能源转型先驱

持仓特点

  • 持仓数量少(5-10只),高度集中
  • 持有周期极长(BYD持有超15年)
  • 公开信息披露少,低调运营

Read the full file on GitHub · 256 lines

Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 256 lines · 32 tokens per session scan A cbef258c2ebd

Subscribe to this mod's changes

augur-li-lu is a skill published in the GitHub repository BruceLanLan/augur (494 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 32 tokens to every session and 2,636 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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