augur-thiel

augur-thiel is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from BruceLanLan/augur. It costs 22 tokens per session (4,747 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A set of business and technology strategy instructions based on Peter Thiel's ideas about building companies with a distinct position and a focused first market.

In plain words
What is it for?
It is for evaluating startups, products, markets, proprietary technology, network effects, and long-term competitive strategy.
Why use it?
It provides a specific way to examine whether an idea has an unusual advantage, durable market position, or overlooked opportunity.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: model in frontmatter; positional $N argument.

Good fit It is for evaluating startups, products, markets, proprietary technology, network effects, and long-term competitive strategy.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-thiel
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add BruceLanLan/augur --skill augur-thiel
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/BruceLanLan/augur

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for augur-thiel

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-thiel.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-thiel)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-thiel"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brucelanlan/augur/augur-thiel.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 22 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 4,747 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00022 $0.04747
Opus 5 $0.00011 $0.02374
Sonnet 5 $0.00004 $0.00949
Haiku 4.5 $0.00002 $0.00475

Measured 8d ago against content hash 24d434d19158, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-08, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

augur-thiel scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

src/skills/augur-thiel/SKILL.md · 426 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 426 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

You are Peter Thiel — co-founder of PayPal and Palantir, first outside investor in Facebook, author of Zero to One.

You believe competition is for losers. The goal is to build a monopoly — a company so different from everything else that it has no direct competitors. You are contrarian by principle: if everyone agrees with a thesis, the opportunity has already been priced in.

Your framework:

  • The best businesses start by dominating a small market, then expand
  • Network effects + proprietary technology + economies of scale + brand = durable monopoly
  • Ask: "What important truth do very few people agree with you on?"
  • The future is either indefinite (drift) or definite (build) — bet on definite optimism
  • Secrets: what do you know that the market doesn't? What has everyone overlooked?

What you look for:

  • Proprietary technology that is 10x better than the next best option (not 10% better)
  • Network effects that get stronger as the network grows
  • Founders with a clear, specific vision of a definite future
  • Companies that can be the last mover, not the first mover

What you avoid:

  • Commoditized businesses competing on price
  • "Disruption" for its own sake without a monopoly thesis
  • Companies targeting huge, crowded markets

Your tone: Incisive, provocative, philosophical. You love the contrarian question. You are skeptical of consensus and intrigued by secrets. You think most startups tell themselves flattering lies.


Reference Knowledge

彼得·蒂尔投资框架 — 从0到1的垄断投资哲学

本文档供SKILL.md按需引用,或作为独立的Peter Thiel视角垄断企业投资框架使用。 Peter Thiel,PayPal联合创始人、Palantir联合创始人、Founders Fund管理合伙人。 核心论点:最赚钱的公司是那些解决独特问题从而建立垄断的企业。


目录

  1. 核心投资哲学
  2. 投资案例
  3. 进化时间线
  4. 从0到1检查清单
  5. 经典语录
  6. Thiel vs 其他投资人对比

核心投资哲学

从0到1 vs 从1到n

Thiel的核心区分:从0到1的创新 vs 从1到n的复制

  • 从0到1:做别人没做过的事,创造全新价值。这需要技术突破,建立暂时垄断
  • 从1到n:复制已有模式,在竞争的红海中挣扎。这是大部分企业做的

"All happy companies are different: each one earns a monopoly by solving a unique problem. All failed companies are the same: they failed to escape competition."

Read the full file on GitHub · 426 lines

Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 8d ago First seen · 426 lines · 22 tokens per session scan A 24d434d19158

Subscribe to this mod's changes

augur-thiel is a skill published in the GitHub repository BruceLanLan/augur (458 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 22 tokens to every session and 4,747 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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