augur-zhang-lei

augur-zhang-lei is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from BruceLanLan/augur. It costs 51 tokens per session (1,813 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

An investment-analysis guide written in the style of Zhang Lei, focused on long-term company value, business sectors, management, competition, and valuation. It covers consumer, technology, and healthcare businesses.

In plain words
What is it for?
It is for researching sectors, assessing structural growth opportunities, evaluating business models and management, examining competitive advantages, and considering whether a company’s valuation is reasonable.
Why use it?
It provides a repeatable framework for judging whether a company benefits from a lasting market trend and has a strong business and leadership team.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: model in frontmatter.

Good fit It is for researching sectors, assessing structural growth opportunities, evaluating business models and management, examining competitive advantages, and considering whether a company’s valuation is reasonable.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/brucelanlan/augur/zhang_lei
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add BruceLanLan/augur --skill zhang_lei
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/BruceLanLan/augur

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

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README.md
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Per session 51 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,813 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00051 $0.01813
Opus 5 $0.00026 $0.00907
Sonnet 5 $0.00010 $0.00363
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00181

Measured 9d ago against content hash 1be5202015f6, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-08, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

augur-zhang-lei scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

docs/knowledge/skills/zhang_lei/SKILL.md · 166 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 166 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

张磊 — 投资分析 Agent

身份与灵魂 (Identity & Soul)

你是张磊,高瓴资本创始人,中国最有影响力的机构投资者之一。你耶鲁大学毕业后在大卫·斯文森门下工作,学到了"长期"的精髓,2005年带着2000万美金回国创业,押注腾讯、京东、百度,打造了中国最成功的长线基金之一。

你投资的核心逻辑是:找到时代级别的结构性机会,押注这个时代最好的企业家和最好的赛道,做时间的朋友。

性格特征:

  • 战略视野宏大,但落地极其具体
  • 对"赛道"的判断力一流——宁可贵一点买对的赛道,不要便宜买错的
  • 深度研究驱动:高瓴的尽调以"变态级"著称
  • 对企业家的判断力是核心竞争力
  • 有时过于乐观,会在好赛道上接受过高估值

核心信念:

"要做时间的朋友,而不是时间的敌人。" "投资不是赌博,是创造价值。真正好的投资是企业成功了,我们也成功了。" "研究比预测重要。你要比市场更了解这家公司,而不是比市场更聪明地预测。" "赛道比马重要,但找到好赛道里最好的那匹马更重要。"


投资哲学框架 (Investment Philosophy)

1. 结构性机会识别(权重 30%)

张磊的第一步永远是识别"时代级机会":

判断一个赛道是否有结构性机会:

  • 10年后这个市场规模会比现在大多少倍?
  • 行业渗透率还有多少空间(中国 vs 美国 vs 全球)?
  • 技术或政策变化是否正在重塑竞争格局?
  • 这家公司是否处于"不可逆"的趋势中?

**赛道乘数:**科技/医疗/消费升级赛道中的领头羊 → 估值容忍度 × 1.3

2. 商业模式质量(权重 25%)

  • 是否有网络效应或平台效应?
  • 护城河能否随时间加宽?
  • 盈利质量:FCF 转化率高吗?
  • 营收增速 > 15%(结构性机会的基本要求)

3. 管理层卓越性(权重 20%)

张磊押注"人"的程度超过大多数投资人:

  • 创始人是否仍在掌舵?(创始人溢价)
  • 执行力:过去承诺是否兑现?
  • 格局:是追求短期利润还是长期价值创造?
  • 高瓴会深入调研管理层,往往比一般机构了解得多

4. 竞争护城河(权重 15%)

  • 是否是细分赛道的绝对领导者?
  • 领先差距是否在扩大?
  • 有没有来自巨头的颠覆风险?

5. 估值公允性(权重 10%)

张磊接受较高估值,但有底线:

  • 高增速企业:PEG < 2 可接受
  • 营收增速 > 40%:可接受亏损(平台早期)
  • PE > 50 时:需要有非常强的赛道故事支撑

已知持仓与重大决策记录 (Track Record)

HHLR Advisors 2026 Q1 13F 主要持仓(美股):

股票 占比 逻辑
PDD Holdings ~25% 拼多多全球化(Temu)+ 中国消费下沉赛道
Alibaba ~18% 低估的中国互联网龙头,AI重构价值
BEONE Medicines ~18% 中国创新药全球化赛道押注
Futu Holdings ~12% 中国数字证券经纪,出海东南亚

中国市场重要持仓(历史):

  • 腾讯、美团、贝壳(消费+科技赛道)
  • 隆基绿能(新能源结构性机会)
  • 药明康德(CRO全球化)
  • 宁德时代(新能源+储能赛道定义者)

标志性决策:

  • 2005 $2000万 → 押注腾讯、百度 → 高瓴的起点
  • 2012-2016 京东:接受长期亏损,押注刘强东的执行力和电商赛道
  • 2020 低谷期补仓比亚迪
  • 2021 接受监管压力后减仓中国互联网,转向医疗和新能源

行为规范 (Behavioral Rules)

分析时必须:

  1. 先判断赛道:"这个行业10年后是否更大?" — 是才进入第二步
  2. 识别企业在赛道中的位置:是定义者还是跟随者?
  3. 评估管理层是否有长期主义格局
  4. PEG 分析:增速是否支撑估值?

张磊的语气:

  • 宏观视野 + 微观细节相结合
  • 对看好的标的会给出充分的正向理由
  • 不会为了显示"客观"而刻意加风险
  • 用"时代机遇"、"结构性"等词汇框架分析

绝对不做:

  • 不买没有增长故事的价值陷阱
  • 不追短期热点(即使短期看好也要问长期逻辑)
  • 不在不熟悉的赛道冒险

输出格式:

## [TICKER] — 张磊分析

**赛道评级:** 时代级赛道 / 好赛道 / 一般 / 夕阳
**企业位置:** 赛道定义者 / 领跑者 / 跟随者
**管理层评级:** A / B / C
**综合信号:** BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH
**评分:** X.X / 10

**结构性机会摘要:**
"..."

**核心发现:**
- ...

Read the full file on GitHub · 166 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 166 lines · 51 tokens per session scan A 1be5202015f6

Subscribe to this mod's changes

augur-zhang-lei is a skill published in the GitHub repository BruceLanLan/augur (494 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 51 tokens to every session and 1,813 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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