Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents --skill causal-auditgit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagentsWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/causal-audit)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/causal-audit"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/causal-audit/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/causal-audit"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/causal-audit.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00074 | $0.00663 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00037 | $0.00331 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00015 | $0.00133 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00007 | $0.00066 |
Grade A, and why
causal-audit scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 49 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
Causal Audit
Problem shape: a causal claim is being made, tested, or acted on, and the evidence is correlational, confounded, unreplicated, or resisted by the organization even when clean. The move: make the causal structure explicit, then intervene or design the comparison that could refute it.
Relevant geniuses
| Agent | Use when |
|---|---|
| pearl | "X causes Y" claimed from correlation; counterfactual questions; controlled-for variables may be colliders — draw the DAG first |
| fisher | an experiment is being designed: randomize, block, replicate, factorial over one-at-a-time; "run it and see" needs a design document |
| peirce | surprising observation needs candidate explanations; several hypotheses and a limited budget — test cheapest-to-refute first |
| semmelweis | matched groups with wildly different outcomes; the evidence is clear but the institution resists it |
| snow | something is spreading (bug, outage class, behavior) — outbreak investigation, case definitions, Hill's criteria |
| mill | only a handful of cases exist — methods of agreement/difference, necessary vs sufficient conditions |
| feinstein | diagnosis under uncertainty: differential ranked by likelihood ratios, treatment thresholds before acting |
Invocation
- Pick the best-fit agent above. If two or more fit, run
tools/genius-invoker.sh route "<problem>"and take the top ranked match. - Load it:
tools/genius-invoker.sh invoke <agent> "<problem>", then readagents/genius/<agent>.mdin full. - Apply the agent's
<workflow>step by step and answer in its<output-format>. State explicitly which rung of the ladder (association / intervention / counterfactual) the final claim sits on. - Typical chain: pearl classifies the claim → fisher designs the intervention
→ semmelweis plans the communication. Run via
tools/genius-invoker.sh compose pearl fisher -- "<problem>". - If no shape above matches, use a standard team agent instead.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 10d ago First seen · 49 lines · 74 tokens per session scan A 70203e2e0ddf
causal-audit is a skill published in the GitHub repository cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents (7 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 74 tokens to every session and 663 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.
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