Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill --skill econ-business-cyclegit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skillWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill/econ-business-cycle)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill/econ-business-cycle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill/econ-business-cycle/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill/econ-business-cycle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill/econ-business-cycle.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00089 | $0.01314 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00044 | $0.00657 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00018 | $0.00263 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00009 | $0.00131 |
Grade A, and why
"econ-business-cycle" scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
This is a copy
95% identical to econ-business-cycle — 8 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 114 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
Business Cycle Analysis
Overview
The business cycle describes recurring fluctuations in economic activity: expansion → peak → contraction → trough → expansion. Understanding the current phase helps businesses time investments, manage inventory, and prepare for downturns or recoveries.
Framework
IRON LAW: Cycles Are Inevitable, Timing Is Not Predictable
Business cycles WILL happen — no economy grows forever. But predicting
EXACTLY when a peak or trough occurs is unreliable. Focus on identifying
the CURRENT phase and preparing for the NEXT one, not predicting exact
turning points.
The Four Phases
| Phase | Characteristics | Key Indicators |
|---|---|---|
| Expansion | Rising GDP, falling unemployment, growing profits, rising asset prices | PMI > 50, yield curve normal, consumer confidence rising |
| Peak | Economy at maximum output, inflation accelerating, capacity constraints | PMI declining from highs, inflation above target, central bank tightening |
| Contraction | Falling GDP, rising unemployment, declining profits, credit tightening | PMI < 50, yield curve may invert, layoffs increasing |
| Trough | Economy at minimum, excess capacity, low inflation, maximum pessimism | PMI stabilizing, central bank easing, inventories depleted |
Phase Identification Steps
- Check leading indicators: PMI, yield curve, stock market, consumer confidence, building permits
- Check coincident indicators: Industrial production, retail sales, employment
- Check lagging indicators: Unemployment rate, CPI, corporate profits, loan delinquency
- Look for divergence: Leading indicators turning while lagging are still strong = inflection point
Strategic Response by Phase
| Phase | Business Strategy | Financial Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Expansion | Invest in capacity, hire, launch new products | Lock in fixed-rate debt, build reserves |
| Peak | Reduce inventory, tighten credit terms, prepare cost cuts | Reduce leverage, increase cash position |
| Contraction | Cut costs, preserve cash, acquire distressed assets | Extend debt maturities, negotiate with creditors |
| Trough | Invest counter-cyclically, acquire talent at lower cost | Deploy cash reserves, buy undervalued assets |
What ships with it
2 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 9d ago First seen · 114 lines · 89 tokens per session scan A e1ca8a0bcfa7
"econ-business-cycle" is a skill published in the GitHub repository charlieviettq/awesome-agent-skill (26 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 89 tokens to every session and 1,314 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. It is 95% identical to econ-business-cycle, differing in 8 lines, and is treated as a copy.
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