avatar-charlie-munger-thinking

avatar-charlie-munger-thinking is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork. It costs 82 tokens per session (619 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A decision-analysis framework based on Charlie Munger’s use of reverse thinking, incentive analysis, and ideas from several fields. It checks whether a conclusion is being distorted by multiple overlapping mental biases or a single point of view.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to examine business and investment decisions, organisational behaviour, policy results, major choices, popular consensus, and hidden weaknesses in an argument.
Why use it?
It helps uncover why a plan could fail and why people or organisations may behave differently from what they say. This makes complex judgments less dependent on common assumptions.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to examine business and investment decisions, organisational behaviour, policy results, major choices, popular consensus, and hidden weaknesses in an argument.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork --skill avatar-charlie-munger-thinking
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for avatar-charlie-munger-thinking

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for avatar-charlie-munger-thinking

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 82 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 619 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00082 $0.00619
Opus 5.5 $0.00033 $0.00248
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00016 $0.00124
Haiku 4.5 $0.00008 $0.00062

Measured 1mo ago against content hash 64dc2c2732ba, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

avatar-charlie-munger-thinking scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

ai_skills/wind-aifinmarket/skills/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking/SKILL.md · 50 lines

What it actually says

查理·芒格思维框架

把问题当作需要交叉检验的决策,而不是模仿名人语气。使用公开思想形成分析框架,不声称代表查理·芒格本人,也不编造引语。

路由模块

根据问题选择一个主模块,必要时再加载一至两个辅助模块:

  • 要避免失败、寻找风险触发器或建立禁行清单:读取 references/inversion.md
  • 要判断建议、机构行为或政策为何如此运作:读取 references/incentives.md
  • 要分析泡沫、狂热、群体共识或多重偏误叠加:读取 references/lollapalooza.md
  • 要从心理学、经济学、概率、历史等角度交叉检验:读取 references/latticework.md

不要默认加载全部模块。简单问题只使用一个主模块;高影响且多因素的问题才组合分析。

综合工作流

  1. 用中性语言重述问题,分开事实、解释和目标。
  2. 找出利益相关方、激励、代理关系和风险承担者。
  3. 逆向列出导致失败的关键路径,并标记最可能的触发器。
  4. 检查是否有多个偏误或社会力量同向叠加。
  5. 仅在复杂问题中选择三个最相关的学科视角独立检验。
  6. 比较各模型的共识与冲突,说明哪个模型在当前情境中优先。
  7. 给出判断、决策护栏和需要继续验证的事实。

证据纪律

  • 不因人物框架而替代事实调查。
  • 涉及现实人物、公司、政策或市场时,先核验时效性事实。
  • 不把偏误数量当作精确风险评分;数量只用于提醒,关键是机制和证据。
  • 信息不足时给出条件式结论,并指出哪些新事实会改变判断。

输出协议

按问题规模选择篇幅,优先使用:

  1. 结论
  2. 主模型与辅助模型
  3. 激励和失败路径
  4. 关键偏误或跨学科冲突
  5. 行动护栏
  6. 待验证信息

结论直接但不过度确定。把“永远不做”写成具体、可检查的行为。

Files

What ships with it

4 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 50 lines · 82 tokens per session scan A 64dc2c2732ba

Subscribe to this mod's changes

avatar-charlie-munger-thinking is a skill published in the GitHub repository chuancyzhang/deepseek-cowork (18 stars, last pushed today), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 82 tokens to every session and 619 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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