layer2_5_hub_variable

layer2_5_hub_variable is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from duolongworld/AI_Renaissance. It costs 36 tokens per session (1,369 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A macroeconomic analysis layer that studies how exchange rates and commodity prices connect China, the United States, and the wider global economy.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to assess USD/CNH direction, compare China-US bond yields, examine trade and foreign-reserve changes, and interpret copper, gold, oil, iron ore, soybean, and corn relationships.
Why use it?
Exchange rates and commodity prices can reflect interest-rate gaps, trade, policy, growth expectations, and inflation at the same time. This layer organizes those signals before a broader forecast.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to assess USD/CNH direction, compare China-US bond yields, examine trade and foreign-reserve changes, and interpret copper, gold, oil, iron ore, soybean, and corn relationships.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add duolongworld/AI_Renaissance --skill layer2_5_hub_variable
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/duolongworld/AI_Renaissance

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for layer2_5_hub_variable

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for layer2_5_hub_variable

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/duolongworld/ai_renaissance/layer2_5_hub_variable.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 36 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,369 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00036 $0.01369
Opus 5.5 $0.00014 $0.00548
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00007 $0.00274
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00137

Measured 1mo ago against content hash f69416bcae8a, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

layer2_5_hub_variable scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 2 executable files (scripts/__init__.py, scripts/analyzer.py), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/macro/layer2_5_hub_variable/SKILL.md · 127 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 127 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Layer 2.5: 枢纽变量分析——汇率与大宗商品传导

执行方式

  • 数值计算
  • 智能分析(需要LLM解读汇率驱动因素、大宗商品信号含义)
  • 混合模式

说明:本层需要 LLM 进行智能判断:

  1. 解读USD/CNH方向的多重驱动因素
  2. 判断大宗商品比值异常的宏观含义
  3. 确认全球宏观三角定位

适用范围

分析汇率与大宗商品的枢纽传导作用,为 Layer 4 预期差信号引擎提供输入。

输入数据规范

必填数据

数据项 来源 字段名 说明
USD/CNH即期汇率 HKMA usd_cnh 日频
中美10Y利差 自算 cn_us_10y_spread 日频
中国贸易顺差 海关 trade_surplus 月频
CNH-CNY价差 HKMA cnh_cny_spread 日频
外储月度变化 SAFE forex_reserve_change 月频
LME铜价 Bloomberg copper_price 日频
COMEX黄金价格 Bloomberg gold_price 日频
DCE铁矿石价格 DCE iron_ore_price 日频
CBOT大豆/玉米价格 CBOT soybean_corn_ratio 日频

可选数据

数据项 来源 用途
USD/CNH 1Y远期点 HKMA 人民币贬值预期
人民币期权波动率微笑 Bloomberg 尾部风险
WTI原油价格 Bloomberg 通胀预期
央行中间价偏离度 PBOC 政策意图

分析步骤

子模块A: USD/CNH汇率分析

驱动力权重:

  • 利差驱动 0.30:中美10Y利差
  • 经常账户 0.20:中国贸易顺差
  • 风险偏好 0.20:VIX、CNH波动率
  • 政策意图 0.30:中间价、外储变化

方向判定:

  • 得分 > +1.0σ:升值趋势确认
  • 得分 < -1.0σ:贬值趋势确认
  • 得分在±0.5σ之间:震荡/无方向

子模块B: 大宗商品比值信号

# 比值 计算方式 宏观含义
1 铜金比 LME铜/现货黄金 铜金比上升=全球增长乐观
2 油金比 布伦特/现货黄金 油金比上升=通胀压力上行
3 铁矿石/铜比 DCE铁矿石/LME铜 比值上升=中国地产/基建相对更强
4 大豆/玉米比 CBOT大豆/CBOT玉米 比值异常=供给冲击或天气风险
5 黄金vs实际利率 现货黄金/10Y TIPS收益率 背离=避险/去美元化
6 南华vs全球PMI 南华工业品指数同比/全球PMI 背离=中国独立定价逻辑

子模块C: 全球宏观三角

宏观环境 美元 大宗 美债收益率 最优资产
全球紧缩 强 弱 高 中债长端、防御股
全球宽松 弱 强 低 周期股、大宗股、港股
滞胀型 强 强 高 黄金、短债
通缩型 弱 弱 低 利率债、高股息

标准输出

{
    "layer_name": "layer2_5",
    "timestamp": "2026-05-15T00:00:00",
    "analysis_result": {
        "cnh_direction": {
            "score": 0.8,
            "direction": "偏升值",
            "components": {
                "rate_score": 0.3,
                "ca_score": -0.2,
                "risk_score": 0.1,
                "policy_score": 0.6
            }
        },
        "commodity_signals": [
            {"id": 1, "name": "铜金比", "z_score": 1.2, "macro_meaning": "全球工业需求偏强"}
        ],
        "macro_triangle": {
            "triangle": "global_easing",
            "usd_strength": -1,
            "commodity_score": 1,
            "us_rate_level": -1,
            "best_assets": ["周期股", "大宗股", "港股"]
        },
        "channel_alerts": [
            {"channel_id": 2, "status": "active", "direction": "positive"}
        ]
    },
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "reasoning": "全球宽松三角确认,美元弱势+大宗强势"
}

Read the full file on GitHub · 127 lines

Files

What ships with it

2 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 127 lines · 36 tokens per session scan A f69416bcae8a

Subscribe to this mod's changes

layer2_5_hub_variable is a skill published in the GitHub repository duolongworld/AI_Renaissance (61 stars, last pushed 22d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 36 tokens to every session and 1,369 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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