Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add fzfclee/consulting-skills --skill scenario-planninggit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/fzfclee/consulting-skillsWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/fzfclee/consulting-skills/scenario-planning)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/fzfclee/consulting-skills/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/fzfclee/consulting-skills/scenario-planning/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/fzfclee/consulting-skills/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/fzfclee/consulting-skills/scenario-planning.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00046 | $0.00752 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00023 | $0.00376 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00009 | $0.00150 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00005 | $0.00075 |
Grade A, and why
scenario-planning scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 87 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
Scenario Planning
Use this skill to run Scenario Planning as a practical consulting method, not as a generic framework explanation.
Method Notes
- Use critical uncertainties and signposts, not predictions.
- Separate no-regret actions from contingent options.
Required Inputs
Collect or infer these inputs before execution:
- strategic question
- time horizon
- critical uncertainties
- known trends
If an input is missing, do not block automatically. Mark it as missing, state the assumption used, and add a validation action.
When Not To Use
Do not use for a short-term forecast when one outcome can be estimated reliably. Scenarios explore a small set of high-impact uncertainties; they are not predictions or collections of generic risks.
Adjacent Methods
critical-uncertainties: identify the variables before building scenarios.pre-mortem: rehearse failure of one chosen plan.risk-matrix: prioritize known risk events.
Step-by-Step Execution
| Step | Required input | How to execute | Output |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frame decision and horizon | Strategic question, time horizon, geography/market. | State what decision must stay robust across futures. | Scenario scope. |
| Identify uncertainties | External trends, macro forces, market shifts. | Separate relatively certain trends from high-impact uncertainties. | Uncertainty list. |
| Build scenarios | Top uncertainties and trends. | Create 2-4 plausible scenarios with names and narratives. | Scenario set. |
| Derive implications | Scenario set and business model/strategy. | Assess risks, opportunities, and constraints in each scenario. | Scenario implications. |
| Choose options and signposts | Implications. | Define no-regret moves, contingent bets, and early indicators. | Scenario action plan. |
Output Template
### 1. Decision And Horizon
Focal decision:
Time horizon:
Geography / market:
Predetermined elements:
### 2. Critical Uncertainties
| Uncertainty | Range | Impact | Evidence | Signpost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | |
### 3. Scenarios
| Scenario | Coherent conditions | Implication | Vulnerable assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| | | | |
### 4. Robust Moves And Signposts
| Move | Robust / contingent | Trigger | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| | | | |
### Evidence And Next Decision
- Confirmed facts:
- Assumptions:
- Missing evidence:
- Next action, owner, and timing:
- Expected signal and decision threshold:
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 12d ago First seen · 87 lines · 46 tokens per session scan A 4a363d859d3e
scenario-planning is a skill published in the GitHub repository fzfclee/consulting-skills (4 stars, last pushed 23d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 46 tokens to every session and 752 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.
Other skills, from other repositories
taxue-industry
A three-level method for understanding an industry: a broad overview, deeper research, and business judgement. It examines the supply chain, competitors, and market structure.
taxue-solve
A thinking aid that turns a vague problem or difficult choice into a clear plan of action. It first examines what the real problem is, including whether emotions are hiding the main question.
taxue
A main entry point for a decision-support system that asks questions, clarifies what you really need, and guides you toward an action.
meme-interpreter
An internet-meme and slang interpreter that explains online jokes, expressions, images, group jargon, and references in their real social context.
taxue-business
A business-opportunity assessment guide for judging whether an idea, project, business model, side project, or way to make money is worth pursuing.
taxue-calm
A problem-framing guide that turns anxiety, stress, overthinking, low energy, or emotional overwhelm into a specific practical question.