market-gate

market-gate is a skill for Claude Code from ikarisz/Bobby-Need-To-Billionaire. It costs 118 tokens per session (1,620 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A market-sizing check that estimates whether a business could reach at least ฿1 billion in yearly revenue before development begins. It uses reachable buyers, a realistic annual price, and a realistic share of those buyers.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it before starting or changing a business to estimate reachable customers, pricing, potential revenue, and whether the idea passes the ฿1 billion threshold.
Why use it?
It prevents time being spent on ideas whose maximum plausible market is too small. The check looks at the market's possible ceiling, not an optimistic claim about capturing a percentage of a huge industry.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the founder plugin — 7 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it before starting or changing a business to estimate reachable customers, pricing, potential revenue, and whether the idea passes the ฿1 billion threshold.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add ikarisz/Bobby-Need-To-Billionaire --skill market-gate
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ikarisz/Bobby-Need-To-Billionaire

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install founder, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 7 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for market-gate

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for market-gate

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ikarisz/bobby-need-to-billionaire/market-gate.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 118 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,620 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00118 $0.01620
Opus 5 $0.00059 $0.00810
Sonnet 5 $0.00024 $0.00324
Haiku 4.5 $0.00012 $0.00162

Measured 12d ago against content hash b190bd3ee143, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

market-gate scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 1 executable file (tools/market-gate.mjs), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/market-gate/SKILL.md · 69 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 69 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

THE GATE — if the ceiling is under ฿1B, we don't enter. No exceptions, no sentiment.

Building a ฿10M business and building a ฿1B business take roughly the same years, the same nights, and the same operator. The only difference is which market you walked into on day one. This skill is where that decision is made, with arithmetic, before anyone falls in love.

The gate tests the ceiling, not the forecast. The question is never "will we make ฿1B?" — it is "could this market pay us ฿1B/yr if we won it?" If the honest answer is no, we do not enter, however charming the idea is.

The rule

CEILING = reachable buyers × realistic annual price × attainable share
GATE:  CEILING ≥ ฿1,000,000,000 / year   → may proceed
       CEILING <  ฿1,000,000,000 / year   → killed, logged, next candidate

No year limit on reaching it — a slow ฿1B market beats a fast ฿50M one. But among candidates that clear the gate, speed wins every tie: rank by time-to-first-baht, then by time-to-฿1B.

BANNED (sizing theatre)

  • Top-down TAM. "The global market is $47B, we only need 1%" is the single most reliable predictor of failure ever written into a deck. 1% of a market you cannot reach is 0%.
  • Uncited inputs. Every number in the arithmetic needs a source or a stated, labelled assumption. "About 50,000 shops, probably" is not an input.
  • Counting people you cannot reach or bill. The buyer must be reachable through a channel that exists and payable in a currency you can accept.
  • Retrofitting the numbers to save a favourite idea. If you find yourself widening the definition of the buyer to clear the gate, the idea already failed — you're negotiating with a spreadsheet.
  • Confusing revenue with profit ceiling. Check gross margin too: ฿1B of revenue at 8% margin is a logistics company with a founder's salary.
  • Ignoring the incumbent's grip. Attainable share is not 30% when one player owns 80% and every buyer is on a 3-year contract.
  • Gating on feelings. "It could be huge" is not a number. Run the tool.

Read the full file on GitHub · 69 lines

Files

What ships with it

3 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 69 lines · 118 tokens per session scan A b190bd3ee143

Subscribe to this mod's changes

market-gate is a skill published in the GitHub repository ikarisz/Bobby-Need-To-Billionaire (2 stars, last pushed 17d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 118 tokens to every session and 1,620 once invoked, about $0.0006 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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