Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add itseffi/agentic-os --skill hypothesis-designgit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/itseffi/agentic-osWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/itseffi/agentic-os/hypothesis-design)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/itseffi/agentic-os/hypothesis-design"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/itseffi/agentic-os/hypothesis-design/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/itseffi/agentic-os/hypothesis-design"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/itseffi/agentic-os/hypothesis-design.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00023 | $0.00352 |
| Opus 5.5 | $0.00009 | $0.00141 |
| Sonnet 5.5 | $0.00005 | $0.00070 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00002 | $0.00035 |
Grade A, and why
hypothesis-design scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
What it actually says
Product Hypothesis Design
Formulate clear, testable hypotheses for product experiments.
When to Use
When you have a product problem and need to design an experiment to validate a solution.
The Process
1. Identify the Experiment Goal
- What user problem are you addressing?
- What change do you think will help?
2. Draft Hypothesis Statement
Use this structure:
[Action] will cause [Outcome] to [Direction] for [Users] under [Conditions]
All 5 components required:
- Action: What you're doing
- Outcome: What metric changes
- Direction: Increase/decrease/improve
- Users: Who's affected
- Conditions: When/where this applies
3. Check for Specificity
- Is the action clearly defined?
- Is the outcome measurable?
- Are users and conditions specific?
4. Develop Measurement Plan
- What metrics prove success?
- How will you collect data?
- What's the sample size?
5. Narrative Check
Convert to story format:
Currently, [user] is experiencing [problem].
We believe that by [change], we'll see [outcome].
We'll know we're right when [metric] changes by [amount].
Quality Check
- Is the hypothesis falsifiable?
- Can you measure the outcome?
- Is the timeframe realistic?
- Are success criteria clear?
When Not to Use
Do not use this skill when the request is unrelated, low-stakes, or better handled by a simpler direct response.
What ships with it
1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 1mo ago First seen · 63 lines · 23 tokens per session scan A 59d365ddac8b
hypothesis-design is a skill published in the GitHub repository itseffi/agentic-os (117 stars, last pushed 14d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 23 tokens to every session and 352 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.
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