023-assumption-analysis

023-assumption-analysis is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from jabrena/plinth. It costs 79 tokens per session (691 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

An interactive guide for listing the assumptions and unknowns behind a problem before designing a solution. An assumption is something believed to be true but not yet checked; an unknown is something not yet known either way.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to write explicit assumptions, distinguish them from unknowns, rank them by impact and confidence, and create a validation plan for checking them.
Why use it?
It prevents hidden beliefs from quietly shaping the design and separates unverified claims from genuine gaps in knowledge. Each important risk is paired with a way to check it.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to write explicit assumptions, distinguish them from unknowns, rank them by impact and confidence, and create a validation plan for checking them.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add jabrena/plinth --skill 023-assumption-analysis
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/jabrena/plinth

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for 023-assumption-analysis

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for 023-assumption-analysis

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/jabrena/plinth/023-assumption-analysis.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 79 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 691 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00079 $0.00691
Opus 5 $0.00039 $0.00345
Sonnet 5 $0.00016 $0.00138
Haiku 4.5 $0.00008 $0.00069

Measured 9d ago against content hash aa59509c2610, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

023-assumption-analysis scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/023-assumption-analysis/SKILL.md · 69 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 69 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Assumption Analysis

Guide production of explicit Assumptions, a list of Unknowns, and a Validation plan for a problem under exploration. This is an interactive SKILL.

What is covered in this Skill?

  • Surfacing assumptions implicit in the problem frame and root-cause findings
  • Distinguishing an assumption (believed true, not yet verified) from an unknown (not yet known either way)
  • Ranking assumptions and unknowns by impact and confidence
  • Defining a validation plan that names how and when each risky assumption or unknown will be checked
  • Feeding assumption and unknown findings into 024-context-mapping and the remaining Functional Specification lenses

Constraints

Make assumptions and unknowns explicit before they become undiscussed risk. When this technique is orchestrated by another workflow, the orchestrator owns clarifying-question sequencing; when applied standalone, ask directly.

  • MUST read references/023-assumption-analysis.md before applying Assumption Analysis guidance
  • MUST state each assumption as a falsifiable claim believed true but not yet verified
  • MUST distinguish assumptions (believed true) from unknowns (not yet known either way)
  • MUST rank assumptions and unknowns by impact if wrong and by current confidence
  • MUST define a validation plan naming how and when each high-impact, low-confidence assumption or unknown will be checked
  • MUST NOT invent an assumption, unknown, or validation step when the available content is vague or ambiguous; flag the gap for a clarifying question instead

When to use this skill

  • Surface the assumptions behind this problem
  • List the unknowns for this issue
  • Build a validation plan for these assumptions
  • Apply assumption analysis before design begins
  • Draft the Assumption Analysis section of a Functional Specification

Workflow

  1. Read the Reference

Read references/023-assumption-analysis.md, then review the problem frame and root-cause findings for implicit beliefs.

Read the full file on GitHub · 69 lines

Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 69 lines · 79 tokens per session scan A aa59509c2610

Subscribe to this mod's changes

023-assumption-analysis is a skill published in the GitHub repository jabrena/plinth (437 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 79 tokens to every session and 691 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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