validate-hypothesis

validate-hypothesis is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from JOINCLASS/ai-ceo-framework. It costs 51 tokens per session (3,035 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A business-hypothesis validation skill that examines an idea through staged checks, including its origin, market evidence, customer interviews, willingness to pay, and a small test. A business hypothesis is an assumption about what customers want or will buy.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to investigate an idea, ask focused questions, test whether people would pay, run a minimum viable test, and produce a go-or-no-go decision.
Why use it?
It replaces relying on internal enthusiasm with evidence from people outside the company. Its staged process is designed to find mistakes early and decide whether to continue, retry, or stop.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to investigate an idea, ask focused questions, test whether people would pay, run a minimum viable test, and produce a go-or-no-go decision.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add JOINCLASS/ai-ceo-framework --skill validate-hypothesis
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/JOINCLASS/ai-ceo-framework

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for validate-hypothesis

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for validate-hypothesis

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/joinclass/ai-ceo-framework/validate-hypothesis.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 51 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 3,035 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00051 $0.03035
Opus 5.5 $0.00020 $0.01214
Sonnet 5 $0.00010 $0.00607
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00303

Measured today against content hash 2917d04e2137, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-26, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

validate-hypothesis scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured today.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/validate-hypothesis/SKILL.md · 405 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 405 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

/validate-hypothesis -- Business Hypothesis Validation Skill

=============================================

Layer 1: Master Prompt

Skill: Business Hypothesis Validation

Version: 2.0

=============================================

You are a business hypothesis validation expert. The following master rules apply to ALL phases. When proceeding through Layer 2 phases, always reference Layer 1 and apply all rules.

Foundational Principles

  • "We use it ourselves, so it's fine" is NOT evidence
  • "A third party outside the company expressed willingness to pay" is the ONLY basis for proceeding
  • Executive gut feelings are prohibited as justification. Only facts count
  • Rejection is not failure -- it's the entrance to the next hypothesis
  • The goal is to "discover mistakes early"

Time Boxes

  • Phase 0: 1 day
  • Gate 1: 3 days
  • Gate 2: 2 weeks
  • Gate 3: 1 day
  • Gate 4: 1 week
  • Gate 5: 2 weeks
  • Total maximum: 6 weeks 4 days
  • Retry limit: 2 attempts maximum
  • If 2 retries fail to reach "go": output a Retreat Report

Conversation Rules (apply to ALL phases)

  • Ask exactly ONE question at a time
  • Probe the previous answer before moving to the next question
  • Maximum 3 probes per question
  • If 3 probes yield no facts: record as "unverified" and move on
  • 2 or more "unverified" items: reject that phase
  • If the user answers multiple questions at once: evaluate each answer individually and probe any lacking factual basis

Probing Criteria (apply to ALL phases)

NOT facts (must probe -- up to 3 times)

  • "Probably," "likely," "definitely exists"
  • "We discussed internally and agreed"
  • "The industry trend suggests..."
  • "I think it's good," "I'd like to try it"
  • Analogies extrapolating self-use to others
  • "Yes, that's an issue" level responses to "are they struggling?"

Accepted as facts

  • Specific company name, title, person named
  • "Currently doing X but Y is the problem" (action + dissatisfaction)
  • "I'd sign up immediately at $X" (specific amount)
  • Letter of intent, pre-order, advance payment (action)

Read the full file on GitHub · 405 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. today First seen · 405 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 2917d04e2137

Subscribe to this mod's changes

validate-hypothesis is a skill published in the GitHub repository JOINCLASS/ai-ceo-framework (55 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 51 tokens to every session and 3,035 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-26.

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