ito-prediction-market-ops

ito-prediction-market-ops is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from JunMystery/Agent-Guidance-Python. It costs 41 tokens per session (468 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide to researching prediction markets, which are markets whose contracts reflect the probability of future events, and comparing related baskets of contracts.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to inspect contract rules and market data, research oracle signals, compare baskets with portfolios or theses, and document the conditions needed for a possible trade.
Why use it?
It supports evidence-based, read-only analysis without guessing outcomes, giving investment advice, or placing trades.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to inspect contract rules and market data, research oracle signals, compare baskets with portfolios or theses, and document the conditions needed for a possible trade.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add JunMystery/Agent-Guidance-Python --skill ito-prediction-market-ops
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/JunMystery/Agent-Guidance-Python

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for ito-prediction-market-ops

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for ito-prediction-market-ops

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/junmystery/agent-guidance-python/ito-prediction-market-ops.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 41 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 468 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00041 $0.00468
Opus 5 $0.00020 $0.00234
Sonnet 5 $0.00008 $0.00094
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00047

Measured 5d ago against content hash 903713640f1b, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

ito-prediction-market-ops scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 5d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/ito-prediction-market-ops/SKILL.md · 44 lines

What it actually says

Itô & Prediction Market Operations

Use this skill for all prediction-market workflows, venue research, basket comparisons, and trade planning on Itô or similar event-probability platforms.

[!WARNING] This skill is for read-only analysis and non-advisory research. Do not provide investment advice, recommend active positions, or attempt to execute live trades.

Core Workflows

1. Market Intelligence & Oracle Research

  • Venue Research: Inspect contract details, volume, underliers, open interest, and event rules.
  • Oracle Signals: Analyze market-implied probabilities as data inputs for decision intelligence or dashboards. Combine with source-grounded news to draft briefings.

2. Basket & Portfolio Comparisons

  • Gap Analysis: Compare prediction-market baskets against portfolios, watchlist, or a specific research thesis.
  • Evidence-First Verification: Query and cite authoritative public sources regarding underlying event outcomes rather than guessing.

3. Non-Advisory Trade Planning

  • Prerequisites Worksheet: Document the specific contract conditions, order prerequisites, limits, and manual execution steps without placing trades.
  • Risk Mapping: Identify hedging opportunities or conflicting events across subnets or venues.

References

For specialized sub-modules, refer to these local guides:

  • Itô Basket Comparison Details: references/ito-basket-compare.md
  • Itô Data Atlas and Schema: references/ito-data-atlas.md
  • Itô Venues & Rules: references/ito-market-intelligence.md
  • Itô Trade Planner Template: references/ito-trade-planner.md
  • Prediction Market Probabilities: references/prediction-market-oracle.md

Verification Checklist

  • All analysis is read-only, non-advisory, and carries a clear financial disclaimer
  • Underlying contract rules and resolution conditions are explicitly cited
  • No private keys, keys, or credentials are used or requested
Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 5d ago First seen · 44 lines · 41 tokens per session scan A 903713640f1b

Subscribe to this mod's changes

ito-prediction-market-ops is a skill published in the GitHub repository JunMystery/Agent-Guidance-Python (2 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 41 tokens to every session and 468 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories

surf

Use when the user wants crypto data — token prices, on-chain SQL, prediction-market positions, CEX order books, wallet labels/net-worth, social mindshare, news, or unified search. 83 endpoints across exchange, on-chain, wallet, social, prediction, news and search — one API, flat $0.0085/call in USDC via x402. Settles…

BlockRunAI/blockrun-mcp · 92 tokens

scanner-pmcc

Scan stocks for Poor Man's Covered Call (PMCC) suitability. Analyzes LEAPS and short call options for delta, liquidity, spread, IV, yield, trend direction, and earnings proximity. Use when user asks about PMCC candidates, diagonal spreads, or LEAPS strategies.

staskh/trading_skills · 63 tokens

ib-portfolio-action-report

Generate a comprehensive portfolio action report with earnings dates and risk assessment. Use when user asks for portfolio review, action items, earnings risk, or position management across IB accounts. Requires TWS or IB Gateway running locally.

staskh/trading_skills · 49 tokens

ib-trades-history

Fetch trade executions from Interactive Brokers filtered by account, date range, or symbol. Supports live API (7 days history) and FlexReport (full history). Use when user asks about their trades, executions, or transaction history. Requires TWS or IB Gateway running locally.

staskh/trading_skills · 59 tokens

insider-trading

Get insider trading activity (SEC Form 4 filings) for one or more stocks. Use when user asks about insider buying/selling, executive transactions, insider sentiment, or Form 4 activity.

staskh/trading_skills · 44 tokens

risk-assessment

Assess risk metrics for a stock or position including volatility, beta, VaR, and drawdown analysis. Use when user asks about risk, volatility, beta, VaR, value at risk, drawdown, or position sizing.

staskh/trading_skills · 50 tokens