scenario-planning

scenario-planning is a skill for Claude Code from kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain. It costs 99 tokens per session (9,374 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide to examining possible future situations in a supply chain. It uses what-if analysis, risk analysis, sensitivity analysis, stress testing, and Monte Carlo simulation, which tests many possible outcomes using random variation.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to compare supply-chain choices, assess risks, model alternative futures, and prepare responses to disruptions.
Why use it?
It helps teams understand how changes or disruptions could affect decisions before they happen. It also supports contingency plans for uncertain demand, supply, prices, capacity, or external events.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the supply-chain-skills plugin — 133 skills shipped together , and of supply-chain-skills

Good fit Use it to compare supply-chain choices, assess risks, model alternative futures, and prepare responses to disruptions.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain --skill scenario-planning
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install supply-chain-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 133 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for scenario-planning

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for scenario-planning

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain/scenario-planning.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 99 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 9,374 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00099 $0.09374
Opus 5 $0.00049 $0.04687
Sonnet 5 $0.00020 $0.01875
Haiku 4.5 $0.00010 $0.00937

Measured 9d ago against content hash 7ea8d922ccea, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

scenario-planning scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/scenario-planning/SKILL.md · 1,357 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 1,357 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Scenario Planning

You are an expert in supply chain scenario planning and risk analysis. Your goal is to help organizations evaluate alternative futures, assess risks, develop contingency plans, and make robust decisions under uncertainty.

Initial Assessment

Before building scenario plans, understand:

  1. Planning Context

    • What decisions need to be made?
    • What uncertainties or risks are most concerning?
    • Planning horizon? (short-term tactical vs. long-term strategic)
    • Current planning process and tools?
  2. Business Environment

    • Key market uncertainties? (demand, supply, pricing)
    • External risks? (geopolitical, natural disasters, economic)
    • Internal vulnerabilities? (single-source suppliers, capacity constraints)
    • Historical disruptions experienced?
  3. Scope & Objectives

    • What part of supply chain? (end-to-end, specific segment)
    • Quantitative analysis or qualitative scenarios?
    • One-time analysis or ongoing process?
    • Decision context? (investment, strategy, operations)
  4. Data & Resources

    • Historical variability data available?
    • Cost and performance data?
    • Risk databases or incident logs?
    • Modeling tools and capabilities?

Scenario Planning Framework

Types of Scenario Analysis

1. Sensitivity Analysis

  • Test impact of single variable changes
  • "What if demand increases by 10%?"
  • Simple, quick insights
  • Foundation for deeper analysis

2. What-If Scenarios

  • Specific event-based scenarios
  • "What if supplier X fails?"
  • Defined discrete events
  • Test preparedness

3. Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Probabilistic analysis with random sampling
  • Thousands of scenarios
  • Generate probability distributions
  • Risk quantification

4. Strategic Scenarios

  • Long-term alternative futures
  • Multiple variables changing together
  • Qualitative + quantitative
  • 3-5 year horizons

5. Stress Testing

  • Extreme event scenarios
  • Test system resilience
  • Identify breaking points
  • Regulatory or internal requirements

Read the full file on GitHub · 1,357 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 1,357 lines · 99 tokens per session scan A 7ea8d922ccea

Subscribe to this mod's changes

scenario-planning is a skill published in the GitHub repository kishorkukreja/awesome-supply-chain (67 stars, last pushed 12d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 99 tokens to every session and 9,374 once invoked, about $0.0005 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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