digital-oracle

digital-oracle is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from komako-workshop/digital-oracle. It costs 146 tokens per session (5,672 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A skill for answering prediction questions with market trading data, meaning prices and related signals from markets where people buy and sell contracts on outcomes.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or other events with traded outcomes.
Why use it?
It replaces personal opinion and general commentary with a structured reading of what trading prices imply about an outcome.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Which agent this was written for is unclear — built for openclaw. Also seen: built for openclaw.

Good fit Use it for probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or other events with traded outcomes.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/digital-oracle
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for digital-oracle

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/digital-oracle.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/digital-oracle)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/digital-oracle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/digital-oracle.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 146 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 5,672 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00146 $0.05672
Opus 5 $0.00073 $0.02836
Sonnet 5 $0.00029 $0.01134
Haiku 4.5 $0.00015 $0.00567

Measured 8d ago against content hash 75ce71b29dc5, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

digital-oracle scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

SKILL.md · 353 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 353 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

digital-oracle

Markets are efficient. Price contains all public information. Reading price = reading market consensus.

Methodology

Answer questions using only market trading data — no news, opinions, or statistical reports as causal evidence. If something is true, some market has already priced it in.

Five iron rules:

  1. Trading data only — prices, volume, open interest, spreads, premiums. Never cite analyst opinions.
  2. Explicit reasoning from price to judgment — explain clearly "why this price answers this question."
  3. Multi-signal cross-validation — never conclude from a single signal. At least 3 independent dimensions.
  4. Label the time horizon of each signal — options price 3 months, equipment orders price 3 years — don't mix them in the same vote.
  5. Structured output — the final report must follow the Step 5 template: layered signal tables → contradiction analysis → probability scenarios → signal consistency assessment. Do not substitute prose for structured reporting.

Workflow

Step 1: Understand the question

Decompose the user's question into:

  • Core variable: What event or trend?
  • Time window: Is the user asking about 3 months, 1 year, or 5 years?
  • Priceability: Is there real money being traded on this outcome?

Step 2: Select signals

Based on question type, select from the signal menu below. Don't use just one category — cover at least 3.

Geopolitical conflict / War risk
  • Polymarket: Search for related event contracts (ceasefire, invasion, regime change, declaration of war)
  • Kalshi: Search for related binary contracts
  • Safe-haven assets: Gold (GC=F), silver (SI=F), Swiss franc (USDCHF=X)
  • Conflict proxies: Crude oil (CL=F), natural gas (NG=F), wheat (ZW=F), defense ETF (ITA), defense stocks
  • Risk ratios: Copper/Gold ratio (risk-off indicator), Gold/Silver ratio
  • CFTC COT: Institutional positioning changes in crude/gold/wheat (which direction is smart money betting)
  • BIS: Central bank policy rate trends in relevant countries
  • FearGreedProvider: CNN Fear & Greed Index (composite of 7 price signals)
  • Web search: VIX, MOVE index, sovereign CDS, war risk premiums, BDI freight rates, high-yield OAS
  • Currencies: Currency pairs of relevant countries (e.g. USDRUB=X, USDCNY=X)
  • Country ETFs: Asset flows in relevant countries (e.g. FXI, EWY)

Read the full file on GitHub · 353 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 8d ago First seen · 353 lines · 146 tokens per session scan A 75ce71b29dc5

Subscribe to this mod's changes

digital-oracle is a skill published in the GitHub repository komako-workshop/digital-oracle (810 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 146 tokens to every session and 5,672 once invoked, about $0.0007 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.