market-capture-analysis

market-capture-analysis is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills. It costs 172 tokens per session (1,761 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

An analysis method for estimating how much revenue and profit a company could reach at different shares of its market, using its current prices and business model. TAM means the total possible market, SAM the part it can serve, and SOM the part it could realistically win.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it when answering questions such as how large an opportunity is or what a company's TAM, SAM, or SOM might be, including revenue and EBITDA estimates. EBITDA is a common measure of operating profit before certain costs.
Why use it?
It makes market-size estimates easier to inspect by showing the assumptions behind each level of customer or market reach. It describes the possible destination, but not how long reaching it might take.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: mentions Claude Code.

Good fit Use it when answering questions such as how large an opportunity is or what a company's TAM, SAM, or SOM might be, including revenue and EBITDA estimates. EBITDA is a common measure of operating profit before certain costs.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills --skill market-capture-analysis
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for market-capture-analysis

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for market-capture-analysis

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/market-capture-analysis.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 172 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,761 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00172 $0.01761
Opus 5 $0.00086 $0.00881
Sonnet 5 $0.00034 $0.00352
Haiku 4.5 $0.00017 $0.00176

Measured 11d ago against content hash e1312f7090bf, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

market-capture-analysis scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

market-capture-analysis/SKILL.md · 103 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 103 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Market Capture Analysis

The first foundational VC question

There are really only two questions a venture investor is asking:

  1. How big can it get? ← this skill
  2. How fast can it get that big? ← sibling skill [[timeline-scenario-analysis]]

This skill codifies the analytical structure for question 1. It is deliberately a static, if-then picture — it does not yet involve time. It is the size of the prize at each penetration step, with every assumption named so the reader can react to it. The companion timeline-scenario skill is what stress-tests the path to any cell in the grid. Doing this skill without its sibling produces a destination with no route; see Why this skill alone is incomplete below.

Terminology note: this document uses the standard SAM / SOM / TAM triad (Serviceable Addressable Market / Serviceable Obtainable Market / Total Addressable Market). The author's original term TOM is parked here as a seam: if TOM means a distinct fourth concept (e.g., Total Obtainable Market — wider than SOM, narrower than SAM), it can be reintroduced as a fourth tier in a later version. Until then, the three-tier standard is used.

What it answers

Given the company's existing pricing (or stated pricing assumptions) and existing business model, what is their top-line revenue and EBITDA at increasing levels of market penetration?

Inputs

Input Source
Pricing Stated price card, contract data, or explicit assumption flagged as such
Business model Subscription / transaction / take-rate / per-seat / etc. — must be named, not implied
Unit of sale Whatever the company actually sells (seats, contracts, transactions, GMV, gallons) — not a generic "customer"
EBITDA margin assumption At-scale or stage-appropriate; cite the comparable if it isn't the company's own
SAM Serviceable Addressable Market — the portion of TAM reachable with the current product and business model
SOM Serviceable Obtainable Market — the portion of SAM realistically capturable given competition, distribution, and execution constraints
TAM Total Addressable Market — total demand if 100% share

Read the full file on GitHub · 103 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 103 lines · 172 tokens per session scan A e1312f7090bf

Subscribe to this mod's changes

market-capture-analysis is a skill published in the GitHub repository lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills (4 stars, last pushed 18d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 172 tokens to every session and 1,761 once invoked, about $0.0009 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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