burn-rate-alerting

burn-rate-alerting is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from luanpdd/kit-mcp. It costs 56 tokens per session (2,733 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide to setting alerts from SLO burn rate, which measures how quickly a service is using its allowed error budget. It defines separate alert levels for immediate pages and lower-priority tickets.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it when configuring SLO alerts, calculating burn rate, forecasting error-budget exhaustion, and deciding when to page someone versus create a ticket.
Why use it?
It helps teams detect when reliability is deteriorating without treating every small error increase as an emergency. Forecast limits and different thresholds make alerts more actionable.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it when configuring SLO alerts, calculating burn rate, forecasting error-budget exhaustion, and deciding when to page someone versus create a ticket.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add luanpdd/kit-mcp --skill burn-rate-alerting
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/luanpdd/kit-mcp

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for burn-rate-alerting

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for burn-rate-alerting

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luanpdd/kit-mcp/burn-rate-alerting.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 56 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,733 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00056 $0.02733
Opus 5 $0.00028 $0.01367
Sonnet 5 $0.00011 $0.00547
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00273

Measured 6d ago against content hash 94840523f96d, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

burn-rate-alerting scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

kit/skills/burn-rate-alerting/SKILL.md · 260 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 260 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Observabilidade — Burn Rate Alerting

Quando usar

LLM carrega esta skill ao configurar alertas SLO ou avaliar burn rate. Trigger phrases:

  • "burn rate alert", "burn rate forecast"
  • "lookahead window", "baseline window"
  • "predictive vs context-aware"
  • "quando paginar vs quando criar ticket"
  • "extrapolar exhaustão de budget"

Fórmula canônica

burn_rate = error_rate / (1 - SLO_target)
Burn rate Significado
Budget durará exatamente a janela do SLO
Budget acabará em metade da janela
10× Budget acabará em 1/10 da janela
100× Budget esgotado em horas, não dias

Predictive forecast (Cap 13 p145):

projected_remaining_at_lookahead = current_remaining - (burn_rate_now × lookahead_window)
ALERT iff projected_remaining_at_lookahead < 0

Regras absolutas

  • Lookahead ≤ 4× baseline — extrapolar 4 horas a partir de baseline 1h é confiável; extrapolar 1 dia a partir de 1h é flappy. (Sem ajuste de seasonality)
  • Sliding window 30d para o SLO — alinha com customer memory (skill event-based-slos)
  • 2 alertas por SLO — short-term (page) + long-term (ticket). Não 1 só, não 5+.
  • Short-term: lookahead 4h, baseline 1h — paga on-call em horas
  • Long-term: lookahead 3d, baseline 18h — abre ticket, não acorda alguém
  • Context-aware vs short-term — escolher por trade-off de custo vs sensibilidade. Default short-term para a maioria; context-aware se "10% restante = mais urgente que 90%".
  • Não alertar zero-level — se você só alerta quando budget = 0, não há tempo de reagir. Use predictive sempre.

Patterns canônicos

Pattern: 2 alertas canônicos por SLO

# PT-BR: para SLO 99.9% checkout_success com window 30d
slo: checkout_success
target: 0.999
window: 30d_sliding

alerts:
  # PT-BR: PAGE — paginar on-call (urgent)
  - name: short_term_burn
    type: predictive
    lookahead: 4h          # PT-BR: forecast 4h à frente
    baseline: 1h           # PT-BR: 4× regra (4h ≤ 4× 1h ✓)
    severity: page
    threshold_burn_rate: 14.4   # PT-BR: 4h × 14.4 = ~58h, esgota budget de 30d×0.001 = 43.2min em <4h
    routing: pagerduty:on-call
  
  # PT-BR: TICKET — criar ticket Jira/Linear (não-urgent)
  - name: long_term_burn
    type: predictive
    lookahead: 3d
    baseline: 18h          # PT-BR: 4× regra (3d ≤ 4× 18h = 72h ✓)
    severity: ticket
    threshold_burn_rate: 1.0    # PT-BR: 1× = vai esgotar em 30d se continuar
    routing: jira:engineering

Read the full file on GitHub · 260 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 260 lines · 56 tokens per session scan A 94840523f96d

Subscribe to this mod's changes

burn-rate-alerting is a skill published in the GitHub repository luanpdd/kit-mcp (1 stars, last pushed 3d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 56 tokens to every session and 2,733 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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