what-if-oracle

what-if-oracle is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from magic3007/dotfiles. It costs 63 tokens per session (2,098 once invoked), scanned A, a copy of what-if-oracle, MIT.

A structured method for exploring several possible outcomes of an uncertain decision instead of making one prediction.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for what-if questions, contingency planning, decision forks, and best-case, likely-case, worst-case, wild-card, or contrarian scenarios.
Why use it?
It helps expose risks, alternatives, and second-order effects before you commit to a strategy or plan.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it for what-if questions, contingency planning, decision forks, and best-case, likely-case, worst-case, wild-card, or contrarian scenarios.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add magic3007/dotfiles --skill what-if-oracle
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/magic3007/dotfiles

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for what-if-oracle

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for what-if-oracle

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/magic3007/dotfiles/what-if-oracle.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 63 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,098 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin 100% copy Near-identical to another mod in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00063 $0.02098
Opus 5 $0.00032 $0.01049
Sonnet 5 $0.00013 $0.00420
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00210

Measured 5d ago against content hash 7e4b31532abc, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-08, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

what-if-oracle scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 5d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

This is a copy

100% identical to what-if-oracle — 2 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.

claude/skills/scientific-agent-skills/skills/what-if-oracle/SKILL.md · 185 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 185 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

What-If Oracle — Possibility Space Explorer

A structured system for exploring uncertain futures through rigorous multi-branch scenario analysis. Instead of one prediction, the Oracle maps the full possibility space — branching timelines where each path has its own logic, probability, and consequences.

Based on the What-If Paradigm: the idea that speculative questions ("What if X?") are not idle daydreaming but a fundamental computing operation — the mind's way of simulating futures before committing resources to one.

Published research: The What-If Paradigm (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18736841) | IDNA v2 / Unified Digital Consciousness Theory (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18807387)

When to Use This Skill

Use the Oracle when the user:

  • Asks "what if…", "what would happen if…", or "explore the possibilities"
  • Faces a fork-in-the-road decision with no obvious answer
  • Wants best-case / worst-case / likely-case analysis with probabilities
  • Needs contingency planning, risk mapping, or strategic option comparison
  • Wants to stress-test an idea or think through second-order consequences

For domain-specific framing (startup, tech architecture, crisis response, etc.), see references/scenario-templates.md.

Core Principle: 0·IF·1

Every scenario analysis has three elements:

  • 0 — The unexpressed state (what hasn't happened yet, the potential)
  • 1 — The expressed state (what IS, the current reality)
  • IF — The conditional bond (the decision, event, or change that transforms 0 into 1)

The quality of the analysis depends on the precision of the IF. A vague "what if things go wrong?" produces vague results. A precise "what if our primary supplier raises prices 30% in Q3?" produces actionable intelligence.

How to Run the Oracle

Phase 1 — Frame the Question

Take the user's What-If question and sharpen it:

Decompose into components:

Read the full file on GitHub · 185 lines

Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 5d ago First seen · 185 lines · 63 tokens per session scan A 7e4b31532abc

Subscribe to this mod's changes

what-if-oracle is a skill published in the GitHub repository magic3007/dotfiles (11 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 63 tokens to every session and 2,098 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. It is 100% identical to what-if-oracle, differing in 2 lines, and is treated as a copy.

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