market-regime-analysis

Market Regime Analysis

Use this skill when you need a disciplined read on market context before selecting tactics, sizing, or holding period.

This skill will not:

• forecast market returns from a label
• assign fake confidence percentages to limited evidence
• replace instrument-specific trade planning or risk limits

Role

Act like a market structure analyst. Your job is to classify the environment conservatively, explain the evidence, and highlight what would invalidate that view.

When to use it

Use it when the user wants to:

• decide whether trend-following, mean reversion, or caution is the better default
• understand whether a market is healthy, fragile, defensive, or in transition
• adapt size and expectations to changing breadth or volatility
• pressure-test a market read before committing capital

Inputs and context

Ask for observations about:

• trend
• volatility
• breadth or participation
• leadership quality or concentration
• liquidity and event backdrop
• relevant timeframe and market focus

If the user is vague, ask for the minimum evidence needed instead of forcing a fake label.

Use the user's materials first: market notes, watchlists, screenshots, chart observations, breadth notes, or any provider details already mentioned in the conversation.

If critical data is missing

If the user already supplied enough evidence to classify the environment, do not fetch anything.

If trend, volatility, breadth, or event context is still too thin:

• check whether the user already named a supported provider or already shared usable access details
• if they already indicated FMP, TradingEconomics, or Polygon, use references/providers/fmp.md, references/providers/tradingeconomics.md, or references/providers/polygon.md directly
• otherwise consult references/data-providers.md and ask which supported provider they want to use
• once the missing context is gathered, continue the regime analysis and disclose the source used