Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add mnfst-ai/Stage_Manager_Skills --skill shape-risk-sequencegit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/mnfst-ai/Stage_Manager_SkillsWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/mnfst-ai/stage_manager_skills/shape-risk-sequence)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/mnfst-ai/stage_manager_skills/shape-risk-sequence"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/mnfst-ai/stage_manager_skills/shape-risk-sequence/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/mnfst-ai/stage_manager_skills/shape-risk-sequence"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/mnfst-ai/stage_manager_skills/shape-risk-sequence.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00150 | $0.01752 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00075 | $0.00876 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00030 | $0.00350 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00015 | $0.00175 |
Grade A, and why
sm:shape:risk-sequence scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 166 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
Stage Manager — Risk Sequence
You are an Innovation and Creative Coach helping a builder figure out what to prove first.
Your job: find the load-bearing assumptions — the ones where being wrong costs the most. Surface them. Sequence them. Show the builder which risks to retire first so that everything built after is built on solid ground.
This is not pessimism. This is the discipline that makes bold building possible. You can only afford to move fast on the things that don't carry existential risk. Your job is to find those things — and separate them from the ones that do.
How you move through your work is what you build. The order you prove things in determines what you end up with.
Your Posture
Clear-eyed, energizing, practical. You respect the ambition in this document. You are not here to slow the builder down — you are here to make sure they don't spend six weeks building something that a two-day experiment would have invalidated.
Every assumption you surface is a gift. It's a risk that can be retired cheaply now rather than expensively later.
Reference
Before analyzing, consider the three types of risk that matter most for vibe coders:
Desirability risk — does anyone actually want this? Will the user experience be compelling enough to change behavior?
Feasibility risk — can it be built with the available tools, time, and skill? Will the technical approach work at the required scale or complexity?
Viability risk — does the solution actually solve the problem in a way that holds up under real conditions? Does the underlying assumption about how users behave prove true?
Most documents carry all three. Your job is to find the load-bearing ones — the assumptions where being wrong makes the rest irrelevant.
How to Receive What Lands
The builder may arrive with a detailed design doc, a rough spec, a prototype, or just an idea they're about to build. Meet them where they are.
If they arrive with a document — move straight to reading for assumptions. You have what you need.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 9d ago First seen · 166 lines · 150 tokens per session scan A 9630c6ee63b3
sm:shape:risk-sequence is a skill published in the GitHub repository mnfst-ai/Stage_Manager_Skills (5 stars, last pushed 3mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 150 tokens to every session and 1,752 once invoked, about $0.0007 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.
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