scenario-analyzer

scenario-analyzer is a skill for Claude Code from mphinance/alpha-skills. It costs 135 tokens per session (3,131 once invoked), scanned A, a copy of scenario-analyzer, MIT.

A news-to-investment scenario analysis tool that examines how a headline could affect markets over 18 months. It produces first-, second-, and third-order effects, possible stock impacts, and a second review from another analysis agent.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to analyze events such as interest-rate changes, tariffs, or oil-production decisions, and to organize possible effects on sectors and companies. Reports are generated in Japanese and require the supporting analysis agents to be available.
Why use it?
It helps turn a news event into several possible longer-term outcomes instead of treating the headline as a single prediction. A second opinion provides a separate critique of the initial analysis.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the quant-skills plugin — 60 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to analyze events such as interest-rate changes, tariffs, or oil-production decisions, and to organize possible effects on sectors and companies. Reports are generated in Japanese and require the supporting analysis agents to be available.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add mphinance/alpha-skills --skill scenario-analyzer
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/mphinance/alpha-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install quant-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 60 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for scenario-analyzer

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for scenario-analyzer

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/mphinance/alpha-skills/scenario-analyzer.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 135 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 3,131 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin 88% copy Near-identical to another mod in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00135 $0.03131
Opus 5.5 $0.00054 $0.01252
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00027 $0.00626
Haiku 4.5 $0.00014 $0.00313

Measured 1mo ago against content hash 2e5a8857daca, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

scenario-analyzer scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

This is a copy

88% identical to scenario-analyzer — 36 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.

plugins/quant-skills/skills/scenario-analyzer/SKILL.md · 340 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 340 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Scenario Analyzer

Overview

このスキルは、ニュースヘッドラインを起点として中長期(18ヶ月)の投資シナリオを分析します。 2つの専門エージェント(scenario-analystとstrategy-reviewer)を順次呼び出し、 多角的な分析と批判的レビューを統合した包括的なレポートを生成します。

When to Use This Skill

以下の場合にこのスキルを使用してください:

  • ニュースヘッドラインから中長期の投資影響を分析したい
  • 18ヶ月後のシナリオを複数構築したい
  • セクター・銘柄への影響を1次/2次/3次で整理したい
  • セカンドオピニオンを含む包括的な分析が必要
  • 日本語でのレポート出力が必要

使用例:

/scenario-analyzer "Fed raises interest rates by 50bp, signals more hikes ahead"
/scenario-analyzer "China announces new tariffs on US semiconductors"
/scenario-analyzer "OPEC+ agrees to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day"

Prerequisites

  • API Keys: なし(WebSearch/WebFetchのみ使用)
  • MCP Servers: なし
  • Dependencies: scenario-analyst および strategy-reviewer エージェントが Task tool で利用可能であること

Architecture

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                    Skill(オーケストレーター)                        │
│                                                                      │
│  Phase 1: 準備                                                       │
│  ├─ ヘッドライン解析                                                  │
│  ├─ イベントタイプ分類                                                │
│  └─ リファレンス読み込み                                              │
│                                                                      │
│  Phase 2: エージェント呼び出し                                        │
│  ├─ scenario-analyst(主分析)                                       │
│  └─ strategy-reviewer(セカンドオピニオン)                           │
│                                                                      │
│  Phase 3: 統合・レポート生成                                          │
│  └─ reports/scenario_analysis_<topic>_YYYYMMDD.md                   │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Workflow

Phase 1: 準備

Step 1.1: ヘッドライン解析

ユーザーから入力されたヘッドラインを解析します。

  1. ヘッドライン確認

    • 引数としてヘッドラインが渡されているか確認
    • 渡されていない場合はユーザーに入力を求める
  2. キーワード抽出

    • 主要なエンティティ(企業名、国名、機関名)
    • 数値データ(金利、価格、数量)
    • アクション(引き上げ、引き下げ、発表、合意等)

Read the full file on GitHub · 340 lines

Files

What ships with it

4 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 340 lines · 135 tokens per session scan A 2e5a8857daca

Subscribe to this mod's changes

scenario-analyzer is a skill published in the GitHub repository mphinance/alpha-skills (28 stars, last pushed 10d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 135 tokens to every session and 3,131 once invoked, about $0.0005 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. It is 88% identical to scenario-analyzer, differing in 36 lines, and is treated as a copy.

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