ifrs9-scenarios

ifrs9-scenarios is a skill for Claude Code from panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins. It costs 92 tokens per session (2,344 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A procedure for building economic scenarios for IFRS 9, an accounting standard that requires banks to estimate expected credit losses using forward-looking information. It covers base, positive, adverse, and severe economic cases and their probability weights.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for macroeconomic overlays, point-in-time default-risk estimates, scenario weighting, and variables such as GDP, unemployment, interest rates, and house prices.
Why use it?
It helps credit-loss estimates reflect possible future economic conditions instead of relying on one forecast.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the banking plugin — 17 skills, 4 commands shipped together

Good fit Use it for macroeconomic overlays, point-in-time default-risk estimates, scenario weighting, and variables such as GDP, unemployment, interest rates, and house prices.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins --skill ifrs9-scenarios
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install banking, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 17 skills, 4 commands.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for ifrs9-scenarios

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for ifrs9-scenarios

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins/ifrs9-scenarios.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 92 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,344 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00092 $0.02344
Opus 5 $0.00046 $0.01172
Sonnet 5 $0.00018 $0.00469
Haiku 4.5 $0.00009 $0.00234

Measured 11d ago against content hash f02ca3a05bff, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

ifrs9-scenarios scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

banking/skills/ifrs9-scenarios/SKILL.md · 193 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 193 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

IFRS 9 SCENARIO FRAMEWORK REQUIREMENTS

IFRS 9.5.5.17 requires: reasonable and supportable information about future economic conditions, including forward-looking information. This is not optional. Single-scenario ECL is non-compliant with IFRS 9.

SCENARIO STRUCTURE — MINIMUM AND BEST PRACTICE

Minimum (IFRS 9): base + 1 upside + 1 adverse Best practice: 4–5 scenarios with explicit probability weights

Scenario Typical Weight Key Feature
Upside 10–20% Above-trend growth, falling unemployment
Base 35–50% Central forecast, moderate conditions
Adverse 25–35% Mild recession, rising unemployment
Severe 10–20% Deep recession, sharply falling asset prices

Weights must: sum to 1.0; reflect management's genuine probability assessment; be documented and approved by the IFRS 9 Governance Committee. Equal weighting (25% each) is RARELY defensible and will be challenged by auditors.

KEY MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES BY ASSET CLASS

Retail mortgages: House Price Index (HPI), unemployment rate, base rate Consumer loans: Unemployment rate, disposable income index, base rate SME loans: GDP growth, SME default index, unemployment rate Corporate loans: GDP growth, corporate default rates, sector-specific indices Commercial Real Estate: CRE capital value index, vacancy rates, GDP growth

CREDIT CYCLE ADJUSTMENT (CCA) — CONVERTING TTC TO PIT PD

PIT PD = TTC PD x CCA CCA is estimated from a satellite model. Typical satellite model form: ln(CCA) = a + b1(GDP_growth) + b2(Unemployment) + b3(HPI_growth) + e

Example CCA values: Severe recession: CCA = 1.8–2.5 (PDs 80–150% above long-run average) Adverse: CCA = 1.2–1.5 Base: CCA ~ 1.0 (by definition — TTC PD already reflects long-run average) Upside: CCA = 0.7–0.9 (PDs below long-run average)

SATELLITE MODEL DETAIL

Model Structure

Read the full file on GitHub · 193 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 193 lines · 92 tokens per session scan A f02ca3a05bff

Subscribe to this mod's changes

ifrs9-scenarios is a skill published in the GitHub repository panaversity/agentfactory-business-plugins (29 stars, last pushed 5mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 92 tokens to every session and 2,344 once invoked, about $0.0005 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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