scenario-war-room

scenario-war-room is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills. It costs 87 tokens per session (2,467 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A planning method for exploring several bad events happening together and tracing how their effects spread across different parts of a business.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for crisis planning, strategic decisions, and contingency plans involving customers, funding, staffing, markets, or delivery deadlines.
Why use it?
It shows how combined risks can trigger one another instead of examining each risk in isolation.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Needs its repository: it runs a file that does not travel with it, so clone the repository first. The line is python scripts/scenario_modeler.py # Construtor interativo de cenários com modelagem em cascata.

Good fit Use it for crisis planning, strategic decisions, and contingency plans involving customers, funding, staffing, markets, or delivery deadlines.

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Install

Getting it into your agent

It runs from inside its repository, so the clone comes first — what it calls does not travel with the file alone.

Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills
agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for scenario-war-room

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for scenario-war-room

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills/scenario-war-room.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 87 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,467 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00087 $0.02467
Opus 5 $0.00044 $0.01234
Sonnet 5 $0.00017 $0.00493
Haiku 4.5 $0.00009 $0.00247

Measured 13d ago against content hash ec16df15cdef, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

scenario-war-room scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 13d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

c-level-advisor/scenario-war-room/SKILL.md · 226 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 226 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Scenario War Room

Modele cenários hipotéticos em cascata por todas as funções do negócio. Não testes de estresse de premissa única — adversidade composta que mostra como um problema cria o próximo.

Keywords

scenario planning, war room, what-if analysis, risk modeling, cascading effects, compound risk, adversity planning, contingency planning, stress test, crisis planning, multi-variable scenario, pre-mortem

Início Rápido

python scripts/scenario_modeler.py   # Construtor interativo de cenários com modelagem em cascata

Ou descreva o cenário:

/war-room "E se perdermos nosso cliente principal E perdermos a captação do T3?"
/war-room "E se 3 engenheiros saírem E precisarmos entregar até o T3?"
/war-room "E se nosso mercado encolher 30% E um concorrente captar R$250M?"

O que Este Framework Não É

  • Não é um teste de estresse de premissa única (isso é /em:stress-test)
  • Não é apenas modelagem financeira — cada função é modelada
  • Não é apenas pior cenário — modela 3 níveis de severidade
  • Não é paralisia por análise — produz hedges e gatilhos concretos

Framework: Modelo de Cascata em 6 Passos

Passo 1: Defina as Variáveis do Cenário (máx. 3)

Declare cada variável com:

  • O que muda — específico, quantificado se possível
  • Probabilidade — sua melhor estimativa
  • Prazo — quando ocorre
Variável A: Cliente principal (28% ARR) envia aviso de rescisão de 60 dias
  Probabilidade: 15% | Prazo: Dentro de 90 dias

Variável B: Captação Série A atrasada 6 meses além do fechamento alvo
  Probabilidade: 25% | Prazo: T3

Variável C: Engenheiro principal pede demissão
  Probabilidade: 20% | Prazo: Desconhecido

Passo 2: Mapeamento de Impacto por Domínio

Para cada variável, cada função relevante modela o impacto:

Domínio Responsável Modela
Caixa e runway CFO Impacto no burn, mudança no runway, opções de bridge
Receita CRO Gap de ARR, risco de cascata de churn, pipeline
Produto CPO Impacto no roadmap, risco de PMF
Engenharia CTO Impacto na velocidade, risco de pessoa-chave
Pessoas CHRO Cascata de attrição, implicações do congelamento de contratação
Operações COO Capacidade, impacto nos OKRs, risco de processo
Segurança CISO Risco de prazo de conformidade
Mercado CMO Impacto no CAC, exposição competitiva

Read the full file on GitHub · 226 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 13d ago First seen · 226 lines · 87 tokens per session scan A ec16df15cdef

Subscribe to this mod's changes

scenario-war-room is a skill published in the GitHub repository ricneves-ai/flowgrammers-skills (112 stars, last pushed 3mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 87 tokens to every session and 2,467 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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