forecast-calibration

forecast-calibration is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from shahinesi/wallgold-ai. It costs 40 tokens per session (468 once invoked), scanned C, original, no licence file.

A process for improving the accuracy of forecasts by recording predictions before results are known, comparing them with outcomes, and studying mistakes. It also covers shadow trades and cautious adjustment of decision thresholds.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to evaluate forecasts, compare predictions with real outcomes, test trading decisions without executing them, and adjust thresholds.
Why use it?
It reduces repeated decision errors by showing where predictions were wrong and how the decision rules should change.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Which agent this was written for is unclear — body not stored (licence); the path alone says nothing.

Good fit Use it to evaluate forecasts, compare predictions with real outcomes, test trading decisions without executing them, and adjust thresholds.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add shahinesi/wallgold-ai --skill forecast-calibration
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/shahinesi/wallgold-ai

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for forecast-calibration

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for forecast-calibration

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/shahinesi/wallgold-ai/forecast-calibration.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 40 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 468 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan C 1 finding. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin unknown No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00040 $0.00468
Opus 5 $0.00020 $0.00234
Sonnet 5 $0.00008 $0.00094
Haiku 4.5 $0.00004 $0.00047

Measured 10d ago against content hash cfee9bb03c5f, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade C, and why

forecast-calibration scanned grade C with 1 finding against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Hidden instructionshighPrompt injection

Directives inside HTML comments, invisible characters or bidirectional overrides are read by the model and not by the person reviewing the file.

description: کاهش خطای تصمیم با ثبت پیش‌بینی قبل از نتیجه، shadow trade، مقایسه با outcome، تحلیل خطا و اصلاح محافظه‌کارانه thresholdها. --- # کالیبراسیون پیش‌بینی وقتی کاربر می‌خواهد دقت سیگنال‌ها را بسنجد یا سیستم را ب
plugin/skills/forecast-calibration/SKILL.md · 19 lines

The source is not reproduced here

No licence file

A repository with no LICENSE is all rights reserved by default, so the body is not copied here. The metadata, the measurements and the link are.

Read it on GitHub

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 19 lines · 40 tokens per session scan C cfee9bb03c5f

Subscribe to this mod's changes

forecast-calibration is a skill published in the GitHub repository shahinesi/wallgold-ai (0 stars, last pushed 21d ago), with no licence file. It adds 40 tokens to every session and 468 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it C with 1 finding (hidden instructions). No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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