geopolitical-risk

geopolitical-risk is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from skloxo/TideTrading. It costs 34 tokens per session (7,631 once invoked), scanned A, a copy of geopolitical-risk, MIT.

A framework for assessing how political and military events—such as wars, sanctions, or supply disruptions—may affect markets. It separates slow-building risks from sudden shocks and measures their likely severity, duration, spread, and predictability.

In plain words
What is it for?
Planning event-driven investment strategies, stress-testing portfolios, and evaluating how conflicts or sanctions could affect multiple asset classes, supply chains, and financial markets.
Why use it?
It turns broad geopolitical news into a structured risk assessment instead of relying only on narrative judgment. This helps compare possible market effects across different crisis scenarios.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Planning event-driven investment strategies, stress-testing portfolios, and evaluating how conflicts or sanctions could affect multiple asset classes, supply chains, and financial markets.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add skloxo/TideTrading --skill geopolitical-risk
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/skloxo/TideTrading

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for geopolitical-risk

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for geopolitical-risk

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/skloxo/tidetrading/geopolitical-risk.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 34 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 7,631 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 1 finding. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin 100% copy Near-identical to another mod in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00034 $0.07631
Opus 5 $0.00017 $0.03816
Sonnet 5 $0.00007 $0.01526
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00763

Measured 12d ago against content hash bd54bcb58e48, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

geopolitical-risk scanned grade A with 1 finding against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Makes network callslowCapability

Not a fault in itself. Listed so you know the mod talks to something, and to what.

resp = requests.get(ACLED_API_BASE, params=params)
Origin

This is a copy

100% identical to geopolitical-risk — 0 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.

agent/src/skills/geopolitical-risk/SKILL.md · 917 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 917 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Geopolitical Risk Analysis

Overview

Quantify geopolitical risk signals, identify crisis precursors, and build event-driven strategies that convert narratives such as "war / conflict / sanctions / supply disruption" into actionable multi-asset allocation decisions.


Core Analytical Framework

1. Risk Layering Model

Layer 1: Structural risk (long-lasting, slow-moving)
  └── Great-power rivalry, alliance structures, nuclear deterrence balance

Layer 2: Situational risk (cyclical escalation, monthly / quarterly scale)
  └── Military exercises, election cycles, sanctions escalation, diplomatic friction

Layer 3: Event risk (sudden shocks, daily / hourly scale)
  └── Military action, assassination, sanctions announcements, nuclear tests

2. Five Dimensions of Risk Assessment

Dimension Description Quantitative Proxy
Intensity Severity of conflict / sanctions GPR Index percentile
Persistence Expected duration of the crisis Futures curve contango / backwardation
Transmission Spillover into supply chains / finance CDS spread widening, VIX jump magnitude
Predictability Whether the event is already priced in Option implied volatility skew
Reversibility Whether the situation can be resolved through negotiation Speed of reversal in news sentiment

Monitoring the Six Major Global Geopolitical Hotspots

1. Strait of Hormuz — Oil Transport Chokepoint

Strategic significance

  • Roughly 20% of global oil supply (about 17 million barrels/day) and 20% of LNG passes through it
  • Iran has the ability to disrupt the strait through mines, naval assets, and shore-based missiles
  • It is the only export route for Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq

Risk triggers

  • Escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions, such as failed nuclear talks or tighter sanctions
  • Tankers being seized or attacked
  • Iranian blockade drills during military exercises

Read the full file on GitHub · 917 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 917 lines · 34 tokens per session scan A bd54bcb58e48

Subscribe to this mod's changes

geopolitical-risk is a skill published in the GitHub repository skloxo/TideTrading (10 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 34 tokens to every session and 7,631 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 1 finding (makes network calls). It is 100% identical to geopolitical-risk, differing in 0 lines, and is treated as a copy.

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