thinking-second-order

thinking-second-order is a skill for Claude Code from tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills. It costs 31 tokens per session (674 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A decision-checking method that follows an action beyond its immediate result, including delayed reactions, feedback, and effects at larger scale.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for architecture, policy, strategy, or other choices with lasting effects. It compares options by what may happen over several stages, not just on day one.
Why use it?
It helps catch fixes that create new problems later, such as extra load, unwanted incentives, or people changing their behaviour in response.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: disable-model-invocation in frontmatter.

Part of the cc-thinking-skills plugin — 28 skills shipped together

not rated 1.3krepo +8 1mo ago A scan Socket: passSnyk: passSkillSpector: pass 31 tokens original MIT

Good fit Use it for architecture, policy, strategy, or other choices with lasting effects. It compares options by what may happen over several stages, not just on day one.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order
About the project

Claude Code Thinking Skills is a catalogue of 28 portable skills that give coding agents structured procedures for reasoning about decisions, diagnosis, risk, strategy, and related problems. It is intended for Claude Code, GitHub Copilot, Codex, Cursor, and other tools that support Agent Skills.

tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills · 1,293 stars · on GitHub

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills --skill thinking-second-order
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install cc-thinking-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 28 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for thinking-second-order

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for thinking-second-order

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills/thinking-second-order.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 31 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 674 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • Socket pass 12 Mar 2026
  • Snyk pass 12 Mar 2026
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00031 $0.00674
Opus 5 $0.00015 $0.00337
Sonnet 5 $0.00006 $0.00135
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00067

Measured 10d ago against content hash bd1fe2b01aa5, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

thinking-second-order scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/thinking-second-order/SKILL.md · 59 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 59 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Second-Order Consequence Chains

Do not stop at the intended first effect. Trace what happens next across actors, time, and feedback until the chain stops changing the decision.

When to Use

  • Strategic, policy, incentive, or architecture choices with lasting coupling.
  • The obvious fix feels too easy or has known backfire patterns.
  • Success or scale would create new problems (load, gaming, debt).
  • Need to compare options by delayed effects, not only day-one benefit.

When NOT to Use

  • Local reversible edit with no incentive or cross-component coupling—just ship and observe.
  • Full system structure (stocks, many loops, leverage ranking) is the goal—use systems.
  • Pre-mortem of failure modes for a plan already chosen—use pre-mortem.
  • Pure mechanical changes (rename, format) with no behavioral effect.

Procedure

  1. State decision and first-order effect. One sentence each: action and intended immediate result.
  2. Chain "and then what?" At least two further orders. For each link record: effect, who responds, rough probability (high/med/low), timing (immediate / next cycle / at scale), and whether it feeds back into the original problem (reinforce or counteract).
  3. Expand affected parties. Who else reacts (users, operators, other teams, attackers, markets)? What incentives does the change create or destroy?
  4. Scale test. Ask what happens if everyone does this or usage grows 10x. Mark paths that only appear under scale or repetition.
  5. Prune and decide. Drop speculative links that do not change the choice. Keep only effects that alter go/no-go, design, or mitigations. Revise the action or add guards where second-order harm exceeds first-order gain.

Stop when further "and then what?" no longer changes the decision, or the remaining chain is pure speculation without mechanism.

Output

decision: <action>
first_order: <intended immediate effect>
chain:
  - order: 2
    effect: <what>
    actors: <who>
    p: high|med|low
    when: immediate|next_cycle|at_scale
    feedback: none|reinforce|balance
  - order: 3
    ...
scale_if_universal: <one sentence or n/a>
revised_decision: <same | modified action | no-go>
mitigations: <guards for kept risks>

Read the full file on GitHub · 59 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 59 lines · 31 tokens per session scan A bd1fe2b01aa5

Subscribe to this mod's changes

thinking-second-order is a skill published in the GitHub repository tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills (1,293 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 31 tokens to every session and 674 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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