market-top-detector

market-top-detector is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from tradermonty/claude-trading-skills. It costs 92 tokens per session (2,413 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A scoring method for estimating the chance that a stock-market top is forming over the next two to eight weeks. It combines distribution days, weakening leading stocks, and movement into defensive sectors.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to examine institutional selling, leadership breakdown, defensive-sector rotation, and whether to reduce equity exposure.
Why use it?
It brings several short-term warning signals into one 0–100 risk score and zone classification. This helps assess correction risk when market indexes may still look healthy.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to examine institutional selling, leadership breakdown, defensive-sector rotation, and whether to reduce equity exposure.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector
About the project

Claude Trading Skills is a collection of Claude Code workflows for individual investors who want structured market analysis, charting, economic-calendar review, screening, trade planning, journaling, and risk management. It is designed for people using long-term investing, ETFs, dividend stocks, and disciplined swing trading, and the catalogue entries package these workflows as skills, agents, commands, settings, and instructions.

tradermonty/claude-trading-skills · 3,373 stars · on GitHub · tradermonty.github.io

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill market-top-detector
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for market-top-detector

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for market-top-detector

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/market-top-detector.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 92 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,413 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • Socket pass 15 Oct 2026
  • Snyk warn 15 Oct 2026
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00092 $0.02413
Opus 5.5 $0.00037 $0.00965
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00018 $0.00483
Haiku 4.5 $0.00009 $0.00241

Measured 8d ago against content hash 10d854d69d4c, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

market-top-detector scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 37 executable files (scripts/_market_calendar.py, scripts/breadth_csv_client.py, scripts/calculators/__init__.py, …), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

Copies of this mod

2 near-identical copies found in the catalogue:

skills/market-top-detector/SKILL.md · 215 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 215 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Market Top Detector Skill

Purpose

Assess heuristic market top risk using a 6-component scoring system (0-100). Integrates three market risk methodologies:

  1. O'Neil - Distribution Day accumulation (institutional selling)
  2. Minervini - Leading stock deterioration pattern
  3. Monty - Defensive sector rotation signal

Unlike the Bubble Detector (macro/multi-month evaluation), this skill focuses on tactical 2-8 week timing signals that precede 10-20% market corrections.

Score interpretation

Treat the 0-100 composite as a heuristic risk score, not an estimated event probability. A score of 70 does not mean a 70% chance of a top. Risk-budget percentages are policy heuristics, not measured outcome frequencies. Historical patterns are retrospective estimates, not point-in-time evidence. Report no comparable episode when any component is unavailable/invalid or nearest-pattern weighted RMS exceeds 15 points. This tolerance is a predeclared heuristic, not an empirically validated similarity threshold. Follow the point-in-time evaluation protocol before making calibration claims. No measured calibration results are supplied.

When to Use This Skill

English:

  • User asks "Is the market topping?" or "Are we near a top?"
  • User notices distribution days accumulating
  • User observes defensive sectors outperforming growth
  • User sees leading stocks breaking down while indices hold
  • User asks about reducing equity exposure timing
  • User wants to assess correction risk for the next 2-8 weeks

Japanese:

  • 「天井が近い?」「今は利確すべき?」
  • ディストリビューションデーの蓄積を懸念
  • ディフェンシブセクターがグロースをアウトパフォーム
  • 先導株が崩れ始めているが指数はまだ持ちこたえている
  • エクスポージャー縮小のタイミング判断
  • 今後2〜8週間の調整リスクを評価したい

Prerequisites

Required:

  • FMP API Key: Set $FMP_API_KEY environment variable or pass --api-key. Free tier sufficient (~33 API calls per execution).
  • WebSearch Access: Required to collect S&P 500 breadth (50DMA %) and CBOE Put/Call ratio data.

Read the full file on GitHub · 215 lines

Files

What ships with it

42 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 8d ago Changed · +12 lines · +1 tokens per session 10d854d69d4c
  2. 1mo ago First seen · 203 lines · 91 tokens per session scan A 8d0b81de2d8f

Subscribe to this mod's changes

market-top-detector is a skill published in the GitHub repository tradermonty/claude-trading-skills (3,373 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 92 tokens to every session and 2,413 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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