thesis-drift

thesis-drift is a skill for Claude Code from Travisun/Opptrix. It costs 71 tokens per session (1,336 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A comparison tool for two investment reports that checks whether the evidence, valuation, or wording has changed. It distinguishes real changes in facts from changes in price or writing style.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to compare old and new investment papers, classify the change as positive, negative, unchanged, or uncertain, and record how any suggested action should be reconsidered.
Why use it?
It helps avoid calling a thesis different just because the wording changed. It also highlights when the available evidence is insufficient to judge the change.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter.

Good fit Use it to compare old and new investment papers, classify the change as positive, negative, unchanged, or uncertain, and record how any suggested action should be reconsidered.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Travisun/Opptrix --skill thesis-drift
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Travisun/Opptrix

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for thesis-drift

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for thesis-drift

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-drift.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 71 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,336 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00071 $0.01336
Opus 5 $0.00036 $0.00668
Sonnet 5 $0.00014 $0.00267
Haiku 4.5 $0.00007 $0.00134

Measured 5d ago against content hash 6e83fb98822a, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

thesis-drift scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 5d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 1 executable file (scripts/thesis_drift_diff.py), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

packages/agent-skills/builtin/thesis-drift/SKILL.md · 113 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 113 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

投资论文漂移检测

署名:Opptrix · AI Berkshire 分析

何时使用 / 边界

使用 不要用本技能
对比两份论文/研究报告快照,判断是否证据漂移 建立或季度检查单票论文 → @skill:value-thesis-tracker
区分事实变化 vs 估值变化 vs 措辞变化 论点看板 → @skill:thesis-tracker;单次修订 → @skill:thesis-update

依赖 value-thesis-tracker 结构(核心假设/红线/估值锚点)。缺结构时尽量抽取,抽不到标「无法判断」,禁止编造

研究质量硬性规则(摘要)

强制结论须回答:未漂移 / 正向漂移 / 负向漂移 / 证据不足;拆开「事实 vs 价格」;建议动作如何迁移。证据优先于措辞;红线优先于低估值。A/B/C、数据截止日、免责声明同契约 §6。

取数与脚本

  1. workspace_read / read_document 读取旧/新两份材料。
  2. Agent 抽取为结构化 JSON(见下方 schema)→ workspace_write
  3. opptrix_run
python scripts/thesis_drift_diff.py --input pair.json --output drift.json
  1. 数值百分比/估值变化:activate_agent_skill financial-datarun_rigor_json.py(脚本本身不联网)。
  2. create_web 交付漂移报告。

输入 JSON 形状(thesis_drift_diff.py

{
  "symbol": "00700",
  "company": "腾讯",
  "old": {
    "date": "2025-12-01",
    "thesis_summary": "...",
    "action": "hold",
    "assumptions": [{"id": "1", "text": "...", "status": "ok"}],
    "redlines": [{"id": "1", "text": "...", "triggered": false}],
    "valuation": {"price": 400, "pe": 18, "margin_of_safety": 0.2},
    "management": "trustworthy",
    "moat": "stable"
  },
  "new": { }
}

假设 statusok | weakening | impaired | broken
动作:buy | hold | watch | reduce | exit | unknown

固定维度(不可临时增减)

维度 Improved Unchanged Weakened
估值锚点 安全边际扩大或内在价值上修且可验算 无实质变化 安全边际收窄/锚点失效
核心假设 更多假设被强化 状态一致 弱化/受损/破裂
红线 风险解除 未触发且水平不变 触发或概率上升
管理层质量 新行为提高信任 延续 损害信任
竞争护城河 变宽/被验证 无实质变化 削弱/突破

每个非 Unchanged 必须引用具体证据;找不到证据 → Unchanged 或无法判断。

模式

  • 指定路径对比:用户给两份路径 → 抽取 → 脚本 → 报告。
  • 自动快照:在 workspace 找 {symbol}-value-thesis* 最早/最新;公司不一致则停止。
  • 缺失基线:明确无法检测;引导先跑 @skill:value-thesis-tracker 建档。禁止用记忆补旧论文。

网页目录

  1. 对比对象与时间跨度、数据截止
  2. 总体漂移结论(强制)
  3. 维度漂移表(脚本输出)
  4. 证据差异明细
  5. 估值验算摘要(如有)
  6. 建议动作迁移
  7. 不确定项 + 免责声明

Read the full file on GitHub · 113 lines

Files

What ships with it

2 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 5d ago First seen · 113 lines · 71 tokens per session scan A 6e83fb98822a

Subscribe to this mod's changes

thesis-drift is a skill published in the GitHub repository Travisun/Opptrix (231 stars, last pushed 2d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 71 tokens to every session and 1,336 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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